Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) implies highs near 76-79°F on May 7, driving the tight trader consensus across 74-81°F outcomes at around 20% each, following heavy rains on May 1 (high of 69°F) and a warm-up to 86°F on May 5 ahead of a cold front bringing isolated severe storms on May 6. Post-frontal northerly winds and partial clearing differentiate outcomes, with lingering low clouds or showers potentially capping peaks at 74-75°F while quicker ridging and sunshine push toward 80-81°F. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show 3-5°F spreads due to uncertainties in moisture recovery and 850 mb temperatures; watch evening model updates and NWS discussions for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Houston on May 7?
Highest temperature in Houston on May 7?
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
80-81°F 11%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
11%
82°F or higher
6%
76-77°F 32%
74-75°F 19%
78-79°F 16%
80-81°F 11%
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
3%
72-73°F
6%
74-75°F
19%
76-77°F
32%
78-79°F
16%
80-81°F
11%
82°F or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service guidance for Houston Intercontinental Airport (KIAH) implies highs near 76-79°F on May 7, driving the tight trader consensus across 74-81°F outcomes at around 20% each, following heavy rains on May 1 (high of 69°F) and a warm-up to 86°F on May 5 ahead of a cold front bringing isolated severe storms on May 6. Post-frontal northerly winds and partial clearing differentiate outcomes, with lingering low clouds or showers potentially capping peaks at 74-75°F while quicker ridging and sunshine push toward 80-81°F. Ensemble forecasts from GFS and ECMWF show 3-5°F spreads due to uncertainties in moisture recovery and 850 mb temperatures; watch evening model updates and NWS discussions for shifts before resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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