The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth on May 6 reflects a post-cold front environment, with a projected daytime high near 81°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms before early afternoon, followed by a sharp cooldown to lows near 55°F overnight. Trader consensus, however, prices 75°F or below at 80.5% implied probability, driven by recent model ensembles (including GFS and ECMWF runs) showing persistent low-level clouds and light precipitation capping insolation and suppressing highs by 5–10°F below initial guidance, consistent with historical frontal passages in early May when similar overcast conditions limit peak heating at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport. Watch for the next NWS update around midday May 5, which could refine hourly temperature trajectories based on frontal progression.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Dallas on May 6?
Highest temperature in Dallas on May 6?
75°F or below 82%
76-77°F 13%
78-79°F 3.8%
80-81°F 1.8%
$41,481 Vol.
$41,481 Vol.
75°F or below
82%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
75°F or below 82%
76-77°F 13%
78-79°F 3.8%
80-81°F 1.8%
$41,481 Vol.
$41,481 Vol.
75°F or below
82%
76-77°F
13%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
2%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
<1%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The National Weather Service forecast for Dallas-Fort Worth on May 6 reflects a post-cold front environment, with a projected daytime high near 81°F under mostly cloudy skies and a 20% chance of showers or thunderstorms before early afternoon, followed by a sharp cooldown to lows near 55°F overnight. Trader consensus, however, prices 75°F or below at 80.5% implied probability, driven by recent model ensembles (including GFS and ECMWF runs) showing persistent low-level clouds and light precipitation capping insolation and suppressing highs by 5–10°F below initial guidance, consistent with historical frontal passages in early May when similar overcast conditions limit peak heating at Dallas/Fort Worth International Airport. Watch for the next NWS update around midday May 5, which could refine hourly temperature trajectories based on frontal progression.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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