India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C for Lucknow on May 5 under partly cloudy skies with possible rain or thundershowers, driving the market's 99.1% implied probability for 33°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's recorded high of just 29°C—10.4°C below normal—amid persistent convective activity and high relative humidity from a recent western disturbance, which has suppressed typical May heat peaks averaging over 40°C. Trader consensus aligns with IMD's observational data and short-range model guidance, emphasizing cloud cover's role in limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or stalled frontal systems allowing brief spikes above 33°C, though ensemble forecasts show minimal support for such deviations; end-of-day IMD measurements will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 5?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 5?
33°C or below 99.0%
36°C <1%
34°C <1%
38°C <1%
NUEVO
$20,513 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,513 Vol.
5 may 2026
33°C or below
99%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 99.0%
36°C <1%
34°C <1%
38°C <1%
NUEVO
$20,513 Vol.
NUEVO
$20,513 Vol.
5 may 2026
33°C or below
$3,743 Vol.
99%
34°C
$3,572 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,234 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$4,810 Vol.
1%
37°C
$2,927 Vol.
<1%
38°C
$910 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$904 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$588 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$428 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$605 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$176 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C for Lucknow on May 5 under partly cloudy skies with possible rain or thundershowers, driving the market's 99.1% implied probability for 33°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's recorded high of just 29°C—10.4°C below normal—amid persistent convective activity and high relative humidity from a recent western disturbance, which has suppressed typical May heat peaks averaging over 40°C. Trader consensus aligns with IMD's observational data and short-range model guidance, emphasizing cloud cover's role in limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or stalled frontal systems allowing brief spikes above 33°C, though ensemble forecasts show minimal support for such deviations; end-of-day IMD measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$20,513Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C for Lucknow on May 5 under partly cloudy skies with possible rain or thundershowers, driving the market's 99.1% implied probability for 33°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's recorded high of just 29°C—10.4°C below normal—amid persistent convective activity and high relative humidity from a recent western disturbance, which has suppressed typical May heat peaks averaging over 40°C. Trader consensus aligns with IMD's observational data and short-range model guidance, emphasizing cloud cover's role in limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or stalled frontal systems allowing brief spikes above 33°C, though ensemble forecasts show minimal support for such deviations; end-of-day IMD measurements will resolve the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$20,513Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts confirm a maximum temperature around 31°C for Lucknow on May 5 under partly cloudy skies with possible rain or thundershowers, driving the market's 99.1% implied probability for 33°C or below. This positioning reflects yesterday's recorded high of just 29°C—10.4°C below normal—amid persistent convective activity and high relative humidity from a recent western disturbance, which has suppressed typical May heat peaks averaging over 40°C. Trader consensus aligns with IMD's observational data and short-range model guidance, emphasizing cloud cover's role in limiting solar heating. Realistic challenges include unexpected clearing skies or stalled frontal systems allowing brief spikes above 33°C, though ensemble forecasts show minimal support for such deviations; end-of-day IMD measurements will resolve the market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes