The latest 96-hour forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 4, projects maximum temperatures of 30–35°C across northern Mexico City on May 7, fueling trader consensus for 28°C or higher at an 84.5% implied probability amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation aloft that suppresses cloud cover and maximizes daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations confirm this heat wave pattern, with maxima of 28–31°C over the past week exceeding May climatological averages of 25–27°C, enhanced by urban heat island effects and low humidity. While model agreement is strong, an approaching northern front could introduce clouds or showers by Thursday, potentially capping highs near 27°C (10.5% odds); monitor SMN updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on May 7?
28°C or higher 95%
27°C 5%
26°C 2.5%
25°C 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
3%
27°C
5%
28°C or higher
95%
28°C or higher 95%
27°C 5%
26°C 2.5%
25°C 2.5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
18°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$55 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$30 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$55 Vol.
1%
22°C
$30 Vol.
1%
23°C
$55 Vol.
1%
24°C
$25 Vol.
1%
25°C
$30 Vol.
2%
26°C
$25 Vol.
3%
27°C
$0 Vol.
5%
28°C or higher
$130 Vol.
95%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest 96-hour forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 4, projects maximum temperatures of 30–35°C across northern Mexico City on May 7, fueling trader consensus for 28°C or higher at an 84.5% implied probability amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation aloft that suppresses cloud cover and maximizes daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations confirm this heat wave pattern, with maxima of 28–31°C over the past week exceeding May climatological averages of 25–27°C, enhanced by urban heat island effects and low humidity. While model agreement is strong, an approaching northern front could introduce clouds or showers by Thursday, potentially capping highs near 27°C (10.5% odds); monitor SMN updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
Volumen
$440Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The latest 96-hour forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 4, projects maximum temperatures of 30–35°C across northern Mexico City on May 7, fueling trader consensus for 28°C or higher at an 84.5% implied probability amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation aloft that suppresses cloud cover and maximizes daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations confirm this heat wave pattern, with maxima of 28–31°C over the past week exceeding May climatological averages of 25–27°C, enhanced by urban heat island effects and low humidity. While model agreement is strong, an approaching northern front could introduce clouds or showers by Thursday, potentially capping highs near 27°C (10.5% odds); monitor SMN updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$440Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:46 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The latest 96-hour forecast from Mexico's Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN), issued May 4, projects maximum temperatures of 30–35°C across northern Mexico City on May 7, fueling trader consensus for 28°C or higher at an 84.5% implied probability amid a persistent anticyclonic circulation aloft that suppresses cloud cover and maximizes daytime solar heating at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations confirm this heat wave pattern, with maxima of 28–31°C over the past week exceeding May climatological averages of 25–27°C, enhanced by urban heat island effects and low humidity. While model agreement is strong, an approaching northern front could introduce clouds or showers by Thursday, potentially capping highs near 27°C (10.5% odds); monitor SMN updates for refinements ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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