Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high of 30°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on May 5, under sunny skies with light southerly breezes and hazy sunshine, propelling trader consensus to a 96% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning follows yesterday's confirmed 26°C maximum amid a transitional spring warming trend, with stable high-pressure dominance favoring upper-normal May temperatures around the historical average of 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or increased wind shear capping peaks at 29°C (6% odds), while prolonged clear conditions could nudge toward 31°C; monitor hourly observations and CMA's evening bulletin for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Beijing on May 5?
Highest temperature in Beijing on May 5?
30°C 96%
31°C 5.0%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$137,745 Vol.
$137,745 Vol.
5 may 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
96%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
30°C 96%
31°C 5.0%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$137,745 Vol.
$137,745 Vol.
5 may 2026
28°C or below
$25,342 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$65,243 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$8,707 Vol.
96%
31°C
$8,052 Vol.
5%
32°C
$7,922 Vol.
1%
33°C
$8,703 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$4,600 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$2,559 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$3,905 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$1,645 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$1,341 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high of 30°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on May 5, under sunny skies with light southerly breezes and hazy sunshine, propelling trader consensus to a 96% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning follows yesterday's confirmed 26°C maximum amid a transitional spring warming trend, with stable high-pressure dominance favoring upper-normal May temperatures around the historical average of 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or increased wind shear capping peaks at 29°C (6% odds), while prolonged clear conditions could nudge toward 31°C; monitor hourly observations and CMA's evening bulletin for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$137,745Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high of 30°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on May 5, under sunny skies with light southerly breezes and hazy sunshine, propelling trader consensus to a 96% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning follows yesterday's confirmed 26°C maximum amid a transitional spring warming trend, with stable high-pressure dominance favoring upper-normal May temperatures around the historical average of 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or increased wind shear capping peaks at 29°C (6% odds), while prolonged clear conditions could nudge toward 31°C; monitor hourly observations and CMA's evening bulletin for final confirmation.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$137,745Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resultado propuesto: No
Ventana de disputas
Final
Latest short-range forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA) and global models including GFS and ECMWF converge on a daytime high of 30°C at Beijing Capital International Airport on May 5, under sunny skies with light southerly breezes and hazy sunshine, propelling trader consensus to a 96% implied probability for this outcome. This positioning follows yesterday's confirmed 26°C maximum amid a transitional spring warming trend, with stable high-pressure dominance favoring upper-normal May temperatures around the historical average of 26–27°C. Realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud development or increased wind shear capping peaks at 29°C (6% odds), while prolonged clear conditions could nudge toward 31°C; monitor hourly observations and CMA's evening bulletin for final confirmation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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