Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, driven by NiMet's February 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction forecasting warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria amid the rainy season onset, following recent days' highs near 34°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show forecast highs of 31–33°C, tempered by high humidity, sea breezes, and potential isolated thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and cap peaks—differentiating lower outcomes (29–31°C) from higher ones via convective cloud cover intensity. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, with extremes rare; next NiMet daily outlook and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Lagos on May 7?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 7?
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
27°C or below
7%
28°C
8%
29°C
8%
30°C
8%
31°C
21%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
21%
35°C
9%
36°C
8%
37°C or higher
3%
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 21%
31°C 21%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
27°C or below
$15 Vol.
7%
28°C
$0 Vol.
8%
29°C
$0 Vol.
8%
30°C
$0 Vol.
8%
31°C
$0 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
27%
33°C
$0 Vol.
27%
34°C
$0 Vol.
21%
35°C
$20 Vol.
9%
36°C
$66 Vol.
8%
37°C or higher
$620 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, driven by NiMet's February 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction forecasting warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria amid the rainy season onset, following recent days' highs near 34°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show forecast highs of 31–33°C, tempered by high humidity, sea breezes, and potential isolated thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and cap peaks—differentiating lower outcomes (29–31°C) from higher ones via convective cloud cover intensity. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, with extremes rare; next NiMet daily outlook and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Volumen
$595Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, driven by NiMet's February 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction forecasting warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria amid the rainy season onset, following recent days' highs near 34°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show forecast highs of 31–33°C, tempered by high humidity, sea breezes, and potential isolated thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and cap peaks—differentiating lower outcomes (29–31°C) from higher ones via convective cloud cover intensity. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, with extremes rare; next NiMet daily outlook and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$595Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight clustering around 32–34°C for Lagos's highest temperature on May 7, driven by NiMet's February 2026 Seasonal Climate Prediction forecasting warmer-than-average daytime temperatures across southern Nigeria amid the rainy season onset, following recent days' highs near 34°C. Global models like ECMWF and GFS show forecast highs of 31–33°C, tempered by high humidity, sea breezes, and potential isolated thunderstorms that reduce solar insolation and cap peaks—differentiating lower outcomes (29–31°C) from higher ones via convective cloud cover intensity. Historical May averages hover at 31°C, with extremes rare; next NiMet daily outlook and model runs expected within 24 hours could refine this uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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