Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 28°C on May 5, closely trailed by 29°C at 32%, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting midday peaks near 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's INMET-observed high of 26°C on May 4, tempered by afternoon showers, combined with a persistent atmospheric blocking pattern that has suppressed cold air intrusions and elevated early May readings above the 23°C climatological average. Urban heat island effects in the city core could add 2–3°C to rural station measurements, but increased cloud cover introduces uncertainty in peak insolation. Watch for INMET hourly observations and evening model updates, which define resolution via official airport data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 5?
Highest temperature in Sao Paulo on May 5?
28°C 50%
29°C 30%
27°C 14%
30°C 7%
$28,183 Vol.
$28,183 Vol.
5 may 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
1%
27°C
14%
28°C
50%
29°C
30%
30°C
7%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
28°C 50%
29°C 30%
27°C 14%
30°C 7%
$28,183 Vol.
$28,183 Vol.
5 may 2026
24°C or below
$10,066 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$3,413 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$2,409 Vol.
1%
27°C
$1,860 Vol.
14%
28°C
$1,473 Vol.
50%
29°C
$1,771 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1,384 Vol.
7%
31°C
$2,590 Vol.
1%
32°C
$656 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$1,122 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$1,441 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 28°C on May 5, closely trailed by 29°C at 32%, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting midday peaks near 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's INMET-observed high of 26°C on May 4, tempered by afternoon showers, combined with a persistent atmospheric blocking pattern that has suppressed cold air intrusions and elevated early May readings above the 23°C climatological average. Urban heat island effects in the city core could add 2–3°C to rural station measurements, but increased cloud cover introduces uncertainty in peak insolation. Watch for INMET hourly observations and evening model updates, which define resolution via official airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ET
Volumen
$28,183Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 28°C on May 5, closely trailed by 29°C at 32%, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting midday peaks near 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's INMET-observed high of 26°C on May 4, tempered by afternoon showers, combined with a persistent atmospheric blocking pattern that has suppressed cold air intrusions and elevated early May readings above the 23°C climatological average. Urban heat island effects in the city core could add 2–3°C to rural station measurements, but increased cloud cover introduces uncertainty in peak insolation. Watch for INMET hourly observations and evening model updates, which define resolution via official airport data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$28,183Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:21 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 45% probability for São Paulo's highest temperature reaching 28°C on May 5, closely trailed by 29°C at 32%, reflecting the latest GFS and ECMWF model consensus projecting midday peaks near 28°C amid partly cloudy skies and light northerly winds. This positioning stems from yesterday's INMET-observed high of 26°C on May 4, tempered by afternoon showers, combined with a persistent atmospheric blocking pattern that has suppressed cold air intrusions and elevated early May readings above the 23°C climatological average. Urban heat island effects in the city core could add 2–3°C to rural station measurements, but increased cloud cover introduces uncertainty in peak insolation. Watch for INMET hourly observations and evening model updates, which define resolution via official airport data.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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