Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 7 at Baiyun International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) indicating a weak cold front's departure after capping recent highs at 26°C on May 4–5 amid persistent overcast skies. With subtropical high pressure rebuilding, sunnier conditions and low wind favor rapid warming in the city's humid monsoon climate, where May averages 29°C but urban heat island effects often amplify peaks; 30°C holds 41% as models show ensemble means around 30–32°C, highlighting uncertainty from variable cloud cover. New CMA updates and model runs expected daily could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Guangzhou on May 7?
Highest temperature in Guangzhou on May 7?
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
31°C 22%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
8%
28°C
10%
29°C
26%
30°C
29%
31°C
22%
32°C
11%
33°C
10%
34°C
3%
35°C or higher
1%
30°C 29%
29°C 26%
31°C 22%
32°C 11%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
25°C or below
$75 Vol.
1%
26°C
$50 Vol.
1%
27°C
$5 Vol.
8%
28°C
$15 Vol.
10%
29°C
$0 Vol.
26%
30°C
$7 Vol.
29%
31°C
$0 Vol.
22%
32°C
$0 Vol.
11%
33°C
$150 Vol.
10%
34°C
$230 Vol.
3%
35°C or higher
$297 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 7 at Baiyun International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) indicating a weak cold front's departure after capping recent highs at 26°C on May 4–5 amid persistent overcast skies. With subtropical high pressure rebuilding, sunnier conditions and low wind favor rapid warming in the city's humid monsoon climate, where May averages 29°C but urban heat island effects often amplify peaks; 30°C holds 41% as models show ensemble means around 30–32°C, highlighting uncertainty from variable cloud cover. New CMA updates and model runs expected daily could refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volumen
$829Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 7 at Baiyun International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) indicating a weak cold front's departure after capping recent highs at 26°C on May 4–5 amid persistent overcast skies. With subtropical high pressure rebuilding, sunnier conditions and low wind favor rapid warming in the city's humid monsoon climate, where May averages 29°C but urban heat island effects often amplify peaks; 30°C holds 41% as models show ensemble means around 30–32°C, highlighting uncertainty from variable cloud cover. New CMA updates and model runs expected daily could refine odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$829Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:15 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 51% implied probability for Guangzhou's highest temperature reaching 35°C or higher on May 7 at Baiyun International Airport, driven by the latest China Meteorological Administration and global model forecasts (GFS, ECMWF) indicating a weak cold front's departure after capping recent highs at 26°C on May 4–5 amid persistent overcast skies. With subtropical high pressure rebuilding, sunnier conditions and low wind favor rapid warming in the city's humid monsoon climate, where May averages 29°C but urban heat island effects often amplify peaks; 30°C holds 41% as models show ensemble means around 30–32°C, highlighting uncertainty from variable cloud cover. New CMA updates and model runs expected daily could refine odds ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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