Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aerodrome forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—projects a May 5 maximum temperature of 18°C under persistent clear skies and moderate westerly winds gusting to 25 knots, channeling cooler continental air and capping daytime heating. This underpins the tight trader consensus between 19°C (38.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1°C amid model ensemble variations like GFS and ECMWF. Northerly flow remnants from a recent cold wave suppress temperatures below early-May climatological norms of 21°C, with urban heat island effects in nearby Seoul potentially nudging toward 19°C. Watch KMA hourly updates overnight for refinements ahead of peak warming around midday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Seoul on May 5?
Highest temperature in Seoul on May 5?
19°C 36%
18°C 31%
20°C or higher 16.4%
17°C 12%
NUEVO
$39,377 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,377 Vol.
5 may 2026
10°C or below
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
1%
16°C
2%
17°C
12%
18°C
31%
19°C
36%
20°C or higher
16%
19°C 36%
18°C 31%
20°C or higher 16.4%
17°C 12%
NUEVO
$39,377 Vol.
NUEVO
$39,377 Vol.
5 may 2026
10°C or below
$1,220 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$837 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$1,983 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$2,942 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$9,788 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$3,140 Vol.
1%
16°C
$5,142 Vol.
2%
17°C
$3,089 Vol.
12%
18°C
$3,553 Vol.
31%
19°C
$2,541 Vol.
36%
20°C or higher
$5,171 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aerodrome forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—projects a May 5 maximum temperature of 18°C under persistent clear skies and moderate westerly winds gusting to 25 knots, channeling cooler continental air and capping daytime heating. This underpins the tight trader consensus between 19°C (38.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1°C amid model ensemble variations like GFS and ECMWF. Northerly flow remnants from a recent cold wave suppress temperatures below early-May climatological norms of 21°C, with urban heat island effects in nearby Seoul potentially nudging toward 19°C. Watch KMA hourly updates overnight for refinements ahead of peak warming around midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$39,377Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aerodrome forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—projects a May 5 maximum temperature of 18°C under persistent clear skies and moderate westerly winds gusting to 25 knots, channeling cooler continental air and capping daytime heating. This underpins the tight trader consensus between 19°C (38.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1°C amid model ensemble variations like GFS and ECMWF. Northerly flow remnants from a recent cold wave suppress temperatures below early-May climatological norms of 21°C, with urban heat island effects in nearby Seoul potentially nudging toward 19°C. Watch KMA hourly updates overnight for refinements ahead of peak warming around midday.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$39,377Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest aerodrome forecast for Incheon International Airport—the market's official resolution station—projects a May 5 maximum temperature of 18°C under persistent clear skies and moderate westerly winds gusting to 25 knots, channeling cooler continental air and capping daytime heating. This underpins the tight trader consensus between 19°C (38.5% implied probability) and 18°C (30%), reflecting short-range forecast uncertainty of ±1°C amid model ensemble variations like GFS and ECMWF. Northerly flow remnants from a recent cold wave suppress temperatures below early-May climatological norms of 21°C, with urban heat island effects in nearby Seoul potentially nudging toward 19°C. Watch KMA hourly updates overnight for refinements ahead of peak warming around midday.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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