Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly priced a 99.9% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 30°C on May 5 at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration projections showing a daily peak under persistent high-pressure ridging and abundant sunshine. Current morning observations at 19°C (66°F) with clear skies and light winds support steady heating to 30°C around mid-afternoon, consistent with yesterday's 28°C high and early-May climatological averages of 26–28°C amid a mild warming trend. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat buildup or reduced cloud cover pushing to 31°C, or brief afternoon haze limiting to 29°C—both low-likelihood per model agreement—while intraday airport readings will confirm resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on May 5?
30°C 99.9%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$67,612 Vol.
$67,612 Vol.
5 may 2026
30°C
100%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
30°C 99.9%
31°C <1%
32°C <1%
33°C or higher <1%
$67,612 Vol.
$67,612 Vol.
5 may 2026
30°C
$10,822 Vol.
100%
31°C
$6,731 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$8,745 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$7,221 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly priced a 99.9% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 30°C on May 5 at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration projections showing a daily peak under persistent high-pressure ridging and abundant sunshine. Current morning observations at 19°C (66°F) with clear skies and light winds support steady heating to 30°C around mid-afternoon, consistent with yesterday's 28°C high and early-May climatological averages of 26–28°C amid a mild warming trend. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat buildup or reduced cloud cover pushing to 31°C, or brief afternoon haze limiting to 29°C—both low-likelihood per model agreement—while intraday airport readings will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$67,612Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly priced a 99.9% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 30°C on May 5 at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration projections showing a daily peak under persistent high-pressure ridging and abundant sunshine. Current morning observations at 19°C (66°F) with clear skies and light winds support steady heating to 30°C around mid-afternoon, consistent with yesterday's 28°C high and early-May climatological averages of 26–28°C amid a mild warming trend. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat buildup or reduced cloud cover pushing to 31°C, or brief afternoon haze limiting to 29°C—both low-likelihood per model agreement—while intraday airport readings will confirm resolution by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$67,612Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has overwhelmingly priced a 99.9% implied probability for Wuhan's highest temperature reaching exactly 30°C on May 5 at Tianhe International Airport, driven by the latest forecast model consensus from GFS, ECMWF, and China Meteorological Administration projections showing a daily peak under persistent high-pressure ridging and abundant sunshine. Current morning observations at 19°C (66°F) with clear skies and light winds support steady heating to 30°C around mid-afternoon, consistent with yesterday's 28°C high and early-May climatological averages of 26–28°C amid a mild warming trend. Realistic challenges include unanticipated urban heat buildup or reduced cloud cover pushing to 31°C, or brief afternoon haze limiting to 29°C—both low-likelihood per model agreement—while intraday airport readings will confirm resolution by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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