Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 31°C high in Chengdu today at 96.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a mid-afternoon peak near 31°C under hazy sun and very warm conditions. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past week, with observed highs escalating from 24-25°C earlier to 28°C yesterday, fueled by clearing skies and building high pressure over the enclosed Sichuan Basin, which traps heat and boosts diurnal temperature swings above May's climatological average of 28°C. While urban heat islands introduce slight upside risk to 32°C (3.5%), realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover, gusty winds dispersing warmth, or station-specific measurement variations reported by the China Meteorological Administration later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Chengdu on May 5?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on May 5?
31°C 98.8%
32°C 1.4%
33°C or higher <1%
29°C <1%
$58,488 Vol.
$58,488 Vol.
5 may 2026
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
99%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
31°C 98.8%
32°C 1.4%
33°C or higher <1%
29°C <1%
$58,488 Vol.
$58,488 Vol.
5 may 2026
29°C
$8,515 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10,074 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$5,890 Vol.
99%
32°C
$4,418 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$7,059 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 31°C high in Chengdu today at 96.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a mid-afternoon peak near 31°C under hazy sun and very warm conditions. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past week, with observed highs escalating from 24-25°C earlier to 28°C yesterday, fueled by clearing skies and building high pressure over the enclosed Sichuan Basin, which traps heat and boosts diurnal temperature swings above May's climatological average of 28°C. While urban heat islands introduce slight upside risk to 32°C (3.5%), realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover, gusty winds dispersing warmth, or station-specific measurement variations reported by the China Meteorological Administration later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$58,488Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 31°C high in Chengdu today at 96.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a mid-afternoon peak near 31°C under hazy sun and very warm conditions. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past week, with observed highs escalating from 24-25°C earlier to 28°C yesterday, fueled by clearing skies and building high pressure over the enclosed Sichuan Basin, which traps heat and boosts diurnal temperature swings above May's climatological average of 28°C. While urban heat islands introduce slight upside risk to 32°C (3.5%), realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover, gusty winds dispersing warmth, or station-specific measurement variations reported by the China Meteorological Administration later today.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$58,488Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUUResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors a 31°C high in Chengdu today at 96.5% implied probability, driven by the latest forecast models from sources like AccuWeather projecting a mid-afternoon peak near 31°C under hazy sun and very warm conditions. This reflects a sharp warming trend over the past week, with observed highs escalating from 24-25°C earlier to 28°C yesterday, fueled by clearing skies and building high pressure over the enclosed Sichuan Basin, which traps heat and boosts diurnal temperature swings above May's climatological average of 28°C. While urban heat islands introduce slight upside risk to 32°C (3.5%), realistic challenges include unexpected afternoon cloud cover, gusty winds dispersing warmth, or station-specific measurement variations reported by the China Meteorological Administration later today.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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