PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook for Metro Manila's Port Area forecasts a 36°C high on May 7 amid partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 28% implied probability on that outcome and near-parity for 37°C, 35°C, and 34°C. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable afternoon sea breeze timing, potential convective cloud development suppressing peaks by 1-3°C, and urban heat island amplification in Manila. An ongoing El Niño alert signals drier conditions boosting heat potential above May's 34°C historical average, though model ensembles diverge slightly. Watch PAGASA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Quezon City station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Manila on May 7?
Highest temperature in Manila on May 7?
36°C 36%
37°C 32%
35°C 20%
34°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
1%
33°C
4%
34°C
14%
35°C
20%
36°C
36%
37°C
32%
38°C
3%
39°C
4%
40°C or higher
<1%
36°C 36%
37°C 32%
35°C 20%
34°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
30°C or below
$82 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$57 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$37 Vol.
1%
33°C
$205 Vol.
4%
34°C
$83 Vol.
14%
35°C
$28 Vol.
20%
36°C
$39 Vol.
36%
37°C
$7 Vol.
32%
38°C
$25 Vol.
3%
39°C
$52 Vol.
4%
40°C or higher
$404 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook for Metro Manila's Port Area forecasts a 36°C high on May 7 amid partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 28% implied probability on that outcome and near-parity for 37°C, 35°C, and 34°C. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable afternoon sea breeze timing, potential convective cloud development suppressing peaks by 1-3°C, and urban heat island amplification in Manila. An ongoing El Niño alert signals drier conditions boosting heat potential above May's 34°C historical average, though model ensembles diverge slightly. Watch PAGASA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Quezon City station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volumen
$1,000Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook for Metro Manila's Port Area forecasts a 36°C high on May 7 amid partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 28% implied probability on that outcome and near-parity for 37°C, 35°C, and 34°C. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable afternoon sea breeze timing, potential convective cloud development suppressing peaks by 1-3°C, and urban heat island amplification in Manila. An ongoing El Niño alert signals drier conditions boosting heat potential above May's 34°C historical average, though model ensembles diverge slightly. Watch PAGASA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Quezon City station observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,000Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLLResolver
0x69c47De9D...PAGASA's latest 5-day outlook for Metro Manila's Port Area forecasts a 36°C high on May 7 amid partly cloudy skies with isolated rainshowers or thunderstorms driven by easterlies, anchoring trader sentiment with 28% implied probability on that outcome and near-parity for 37°C, 35°C, and 34°C. This tight clustering reflects inherent short-range forecast uncertainty from variable afternoon sea breeze timing, potential convective cloud development suppressing peaks by 1-3°C, and urban heat island amplification in Manila. An ongoing El Niño alert signals drier conditions boosting heat potential above May's 34°C historical average, though model ensembles diverge slightly. Watch PAGASA's daily updates for refined guidance ahead of resolution based on official Quezon City station observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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