Météo-France's latest short-range forecast, backed by ECMWF ensemble models, projects Paris's highest temperature on May 5 at around 15°C amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for exactly 15°C. This marks a sharp cooldown from recent warmer days—May 3 peaked near 21°C and May 4 forecasts hovered at 18–19°C—due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler maritime air over Île-de-France, with cloud cover limiting solar heating. Historical May averages hover at 18–19°C, but current model agreement reflects high confidence in subdued daytime highs below 17°C; watch for afternoon Météo-France updates or deviations from typical spring variability as observations accrue toward evening resolution at official Paris stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Paris on May 5?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 5?
15°C 79%
16°C 18%
17°C 3.3%
18°C <1%
$107,270 Vol.
$107,270 Vol.
5 may 2026
15°C
79%
16°C
18%
17°C
3%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C or higher
<1%
15°C 79%
16°C 18%
17°C 3.3%
18°C <1%
$107,270 Vol.
$107,270 Vol.
5 may 2026
15°C
$11,111 Vol.
79%
16°C
$8,506 Vol.
18%
17°C
$12,630 Vol.
3%
18°C
$8,997 Vol.
1%
19°C
$5,263 Vol.
<1%
20°C or higher
$7,828 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest short-range forecast, backed by ECMWF ensemble models, projects Paris's highest temperature on May 5 at around 15°C amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for exactly 15°C. This marks a sharp cooldown from recent warmer days—May 3 peaked near 21°C and May 4 forecasts hovered at 18–19°C—due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler maritime air over Île-de-France, with cloud cover limiting solar heating. Historical May averages hover at 18–19°C, but current model agreement reflects high confidence in subdued daytime highs below 17°C; watch for afternoon Météo-France updates or deviations from typical spring variability as observations accrue toward evening resolution at official Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volumen
$107,270Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Météo-France's latest short-range forecast, backed by ECMWF ensemble models, projects Paris's highest temperature on May 5 at around 15°C amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for exactly 15°C. This marks a sharp cooldown from recent warmer days—May 3 peaked near 21°C and May 4 forecasts hovered at 18–19°C—due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler maritime air over Île-de-France, with cloud cover limiting solar heating. Historical May averages hover at 18–19°C, but current model agreement reflects high confidence in subdued daytime highs below 17°C; watch for afternoon Météo-France updates or deviations from typical spring variability as observations accrue toward evening resolution at official Paris stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$107,270Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:07 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Météo-France's latest short-range forecast, backed by ECMWF ensemble models, projects Paris's highest temperature on May 5 at around 15°C amid overcast skies, scattered showers, and a cool northerly airflow, driving trader consensus to 79% implied probability for exactly 15°C. This marks a sharp cooldown from recent warmer days—May 3 peaked near 21°C and May 4 forecasts hovered at 18–19°C—due to a low-pressure system ushering cooler maritime air over Île-de-France, with cloud cover limiting solar heating. Historical May averages hover at 18–19°C, but current model agreement reflects high confidence in subdued daytime highs below 17°C; watch for afternoon Météo-France updates or deviations from typical spring variability as observations accrue toward evening resolution at official Paris stations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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