Trader consensus favors 25°C (45.5%) and 26°C (28.5%) as Moscow's May 5 high temperature, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Rosgidromet) and Gismeteo projecting peaks of 24–26°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds up to 11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s. Morning observations show temperatures climbing to 18°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicating strong solar heating potential. However, variable cloudiness and isolated brief rains or thunderstorms could cap peaks at 24°C (14.5%), introducing uncertainty typical of short-range boundary-layer forecasts. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological norms of 15–18°C, with official Vnukovo and central station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Moscow on May 5?
Highest temperature in Moscow on May 5?
24°C 74%
25°C 28%
26°C 3.9%
27°C <1%
$44,509 Vol.
$44,509 Vol.
5 may 2026
24°C
74%
25°C
28%
26°C
4%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 74%
25°C 28%
26°C 3.9%
27°C <1%
$44,509 Vol.
$44,509 Vol.
5 may 2026
24°C
$2,938 Vol.
74%
25°C
$3,142 Vol.
28%
26°C
$4,492 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5,200 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,917 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$6,961 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 25°C (45.5%) and 26°C (28.5%) as Moscow's May 5 high temperature, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Rosgidromet) and Gismeteo projecting peaks of 24–26°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds up to 11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s. Morning observations show temperatures climbing to 18°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicating strong solar heating potential. However, variable cloudiness and isolated brief rains or thunderstorms could cap peaks at 24°C (14.5%), introducing uncertainty typical of short-range boundary-layer forecasts. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological norms of 15–18°C, with official Vnukovo and central station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volumen
$44,509Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 25°C (45.5%) and 26°C (28.5%) as Moscow's May 5 high temperature, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Rosgidromet) and Gismeteo projecting peaks of 24–26°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds up to 11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s. Morning observations show temperatures climbing to 18°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicating strong solar heating potential. However, variable cloudiness and isolated brief rains or thunderstorms could cap peaks at 24°C (14.5%), introducing uncertainty typical of short-range boundary-layer forecasts. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological norms of 15–18°C, with official Vnukovo and central station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$44,509Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 25°C (45.5%) and 26°C (28.5%) as Moscow's May 5 high temperature, driven by the latest forecasts from Russia's Hydrometeorological Center (Rosgidromet) and Gismeteo projecting peaks of 24–26°C amid a high-pressure ridge ushering southerly winds up to 11 m/s with gusts to 15 m/s. Morning observations show temperatures climbing to 18°C under mostly clear skies, aligning with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS indicating strong solar heating potential. However, variable cloudiness and isolated brief rains or thunderstorms could cap peaks at 24°C (14.5%), introducing uncertainty typical of short-range boundary-layer forecasts. This warm spell exceeds early May climatological norms of 15–18°C, with official Vnukovo and central station data expected to resolve the market by evening.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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