Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86-87°F as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on May 6, closely followed by 88-89°F at 31.5%, aligning with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast of a high near 86-88°F under mostly sunny skies. Recent shower activity through May 4 suppressed highs to 82-84°F amid cloudy conditions and 50% precipitation chances, but a decreasing trend in thunderstorms and building high pressure ridge is driving the warming outlook, with light southeast winds (5-9 mph) and low precip risk (near 0%) enabling typical early-May diurnal heating. Climatological normals hover around 86°F maximum; watch for daily NWS updates and model runs through May 5, as isolated convection could shave 1-2°F off peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 6?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 6?
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
10%
86-87°F
46%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
5%
92-93°F
2%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
<1%
98°F or higher
<1%
86-87°F 46%
88-89°F 35%
84-85°F 10%
90-91°F 5%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
79°F or below
$738 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$735 Vol.
1%
82-83°F
$3,047 Vol.
1%
84-85°F
$838 Vol.
10%
86-87°F
$852 Vol.
46%
88-89°F
$537 Vol.
35%
90-91°F
$953 Vol.
5%
92-93°F
$600 Vol.
2%
94-95°F
$194 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$182 Vol.
<1%
98°F or higher
$470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86-87°F as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on May 6, closely followed by 88-89°F at 31.5%, aligning with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast of a high near 86-88°F under mostly sunny skies. Recent shower activity through May 4 suppressed highs to 82-84°F amid cloudy conditions and 50% precipitation chances, but a decreasing trend in thunderstorms and building high pressure ridge is driving the warming outlook, with light southeast winds (5-9 mph) and low precip risk (near 0%) enabling typical early-May diurnal heating. Climatological normals hover around 86°F maximum; watch for daily NWS updates and model runs through May 5, as isolated convection could shave 1-2°F off peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Volumen
$9,144Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86-87°F as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on May 6, closely followed by 88-89°F at 31.5%, aligning with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast of a high near 86-88°F under mostly sunny skies. Recent shower activity through May 4 suppressed highs to 82-84°F amid cloudy conditions and 50% precipitation chances, but a decreasing trend in thunderstorms and building high pressure ridge is driving the warming outlook, with light southeast winds (5-9 mph) and low precip risk (near 0%) enabling typical early-May diurnal heating. Climatological normals hover around 86°F maximum; watch for daily NWS updates and model runs through May 5, as isolated convection could shave 1-2°F off peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$9,144Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 1:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 86-87°F as the leading outcome at 41.5% implied probability for Miami International Airport's (KMIA) highest temperature on May 6, closely followed by 88-89°F at 31.5%, aligning with the National Weather Service (NWS) forecast of a high near 86-88°F under mostly sunny skies. Recent shower activity through May 4 suppressed highs to 82-84°F amid cloudy conditions and 50% precipitation chances, but a decreasing trend in thunderstorms and building high pressure ridge is driving the warming outlook, with light southeast winds (5-9 mph) and low precip risk (near 0%) enabling typical early-May diurnal heating. Climatological normals hover around 86°F maximum; watch for daily NWS updates and model runs through May 5, as isolated convection could shave 1-2°F off peaks.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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