Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 7 high temperature, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes between 84°F and 91°F amid a warming trend following recent shower suppression. Current upper-ridge pattern aloft and light southeast winds favor diurnal heating to upper 80s, but sea breeze development and potential afternoon cumulus clouds or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at mid-80s or push toward low 90s if drier. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with the split; new 12Z model runs and NWS updates later today will clarify convective timing and cloud cover impacts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 7?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 7?
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
92-93°F 7%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
88-89°F 35%
90-91°F 27%
86-87°F 20%
92-93°F 7%
79°F or below
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
1%
84-85°F
6%
86-87°F
20%
88-89°F
35%
90-91°F
31%
92-93°F
7%
94-95°F
6%
96-97°F
3%
98°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:27 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service forecasts for Miami's May 7 high temperature, with ensemble models like GFS and ECMWF clustering outcomes between 84°F and 91°F amid a warming trend following recent shower suppression. Current upper-ridge pattern aloft and light southeast winds favor diurnal heating to upper 80s, but sea breeze development and potential afternoon cumulus clouds or isolated thunderstorms could cap peaks at mid-80s or push toward low 90s if drier. May climatological normals hover at 86°F, aligning with the split; new 12Z model runs and NWS updates later today will clarify convective timing and cloud cover impacts.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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