Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-87°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinning Miami's May 5 high near 81-82°F amid climatological May averages of 83-84°F. Recent developments include a sharp cooldown after May 2's observed 93°F peak at Miami International Airport, driven by increased cloud cover and sea breeze incursions that cap diurnal heating. Key differentiators include model ensemble spread—GFS and ECMWF runs vary by 3-5°F due to uncertain afternoon shower timing and low-level moisture—potentially pushing peaks lower (78-81°F) with persistent clouds or higher (84-87°F) under sunnier breaks. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Miami on May 5?
Highest temperature in Miami on May 5?
84-85°F 41%
82-83°F 39%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
73°F or below
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
8%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
41%
86-87°F
10%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 41%
82-83°F 39%
86-87°F 10%
80-81°F 8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 may 2026
73°F or below
$496 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$309 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$365 Vol.
1%
78-79°F
$629 Vol.
1%
80-81°F
$671 Vol.
8%
82-83°F
$385 Vol.
39%
84-85°F
$558 Vol.
41%
86-87°F
$696 Vol.
10%
88-89°F
$340 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$147 Vol.
1%
92°F or higher
$446 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-87°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinning Miami's May 5 high near 81-82°F amid climatological May averages of 83-84°F. Recent developments include a sharp cooldown after May 2's observed 93°F peak at Miami International Airport, driven by increased cloud cover and sea breeze incursions that cap diurnal heating. Key differentiators include model ensemble spread—GFS and ECMWF runs vary by 3-5°F due to uncertain afternoon shower timing and low-level moisture—potentially pushing peaks lower (78-81°F) with persistent clouds or higher (84-87°F) under sunnier breaks. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Volumen
$4,999Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-87°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinning Miami's May 5 high near 81-82°F amid climatological May averages of 83-84°F. Recent developments include a sharp cooldown after May 2's observed 93°F peak at Miami International Airport, driven by increased cloud cover and sea breeze incursions that cap diurnal heating. Key differentiators include model ensemble spread—GFS and ECMWF runs vary by 3-5°F due to uncertain afternoon shower timing and low-level moisture—potentially pushing peaks lower (78-81°F) with persistent clouds or higher (84-87°F) under sunnier breaks. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official airport observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$4,999Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:34 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment clusters tightly around 78-87°F outcomes at 40.5% implied probabilities each, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts pinning Miami's May 5 high near 81-82°F amid climatological May averages of 83-84°F. Recent developments include a sharp cooldown after May 2's observed 93°F peak at Miami International Airport, driven by increased cloud cover and sea breeze incursions that cap diurnal heating. Key differentiators include model ensemble spread—GFS and ECMWF runs vary by 3-5°F due to uncertain afternoon shower timing and low-level moisture—potentially pushing peaks lower (78-81°F) with persistent clouds or higher (84-87°F) under sunnier breaks. New 12Z model updates expected today could refine this uncertainty before resolution based on official airport observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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