Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 12°C (36.5% implied probability) as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and yr.no (Met Norway), projecting a daytime max near 12°C under fair skies with light 5 m/s winds and no precipitation. This positioning reflects a recent moderation from cooler northerly flows over the past 48 hours, which capped May 4 highs at around 10°C, now transitioning to a neutral pressure gradient over the Baltic Sea enabling greater solar insolation. Close odds between 11–14°C stem from ensemble model spread—ECMWF leaning cooler due to lingering cloudiness, while GFS hints at afternoon heating from weak southerly advection—highlighting typical 2–3°C uncertainty at 48-hour lead times. Watch FMI updates and 12Z model runs tomorrow for potential shifts before resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 6?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 6?
13°C 30%
12°C 29%
14°C 29%
11°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
6°C or below
<1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
2%
11°C
14%
12°C
29%
13°C
30%
14°C
29%
15°C
3%
16°C or higher
2%
13°C 30%
12°C 29%
14°C 29%
11°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
6 may 2026
6°C or below
$197 Vol.
<1%
7°C
$247 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$289 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$907 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$574 Vol.
2%
11°C
$350 Vol.
14%
12°C
$230 Vol.
29%
13°C
$147 Vol.
30%
14°C
$146 Vol.
29%
15°C
$108 Vol.
3%
16°C or higher
$113 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 12°C (36.5% implied probability) as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and yr.no (Met Norway), projecting a daytime max near 12°C under fair skies with light 5 m/s winds and no precipitation. This positioning reflects a recent moderation from cooler northerly flows over the past 48 hours, which capped May 4 highs at around 10°C, now transitioning to a neutral pressure gradient over the Baltic Sea enabling greater solar insolation. Close odds between 11–14°C stem from ensemble model spread—ECMWF leaning cooler due to lingering cloudiness, while GFS hints at afternoon heating from weak southerly advection—highlighting typical 2–3°C uncertainty at 48-hour lead times. Watch FMI updates and 12Z model runs tomorrow for potential shifts before resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ET
Volumen
$3,308Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 12°C (36.5% implied probability) as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and yr.no (Met Norway), projecting a daytime max near 12°C under fair skies with light 5 m/s winds and no precipitation. This positioning reflects a recent moderation from cooler northerly flows over the past 48 hours, which capped May 4 highs at around 10°C, now transitioning to a neutral pressure gradient over the Baltic Sea enabling greater solar insolation. Close odds between 11–14°C stem from ensemble model spread—ECMWF leaning cooler due to lingering cloudiness, while GFS hints at afternoon heating from weak southerly advection—highlighting typical 2–3°C uncertainty at 48-hour lead times. Watch FMI updates and 12Z model runs tomorrow for potential shifts before resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$3,308Fecha de finalización
6 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 4, 2026, 12:23 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 12°C (36.5% implied probability) as Helsinki's highest temperature on May 6, driven by the latest short-range forecasts from the Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) and yr.no (Met Norway), projecting a daytime max near 12°C under fair skies with light 5 m/s winds and no precipitation. This positioning reflects a recent moderation from cooler northerly flows over the past 48 hours, which capped May 4 highs at around 10°C, now transitioning to a neutral pressure gradient over the Baltic Sea enabling greater solar insolation. Close odds between 11–14°C stem from ensemble model spread—ECMWF leaning cooler due to lingering cloudiness, while GFS hints at afternoon heating from weak southerly advection—highlighting typical 2–3°C uncertainty at 48-hour lead times. Watch FMI updates and 12Z model runs tomorrow for potential shifts before resolution based on official Helsinki-Vantaa observations.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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