Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 12–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) short-range forecasts showing daytime highs near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, aligned with a cool northerly airflow over the Baltic region. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit a 3–4°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover thickness, solar insolation timing, and high-pressure ridge strength over Scandinavia—factors that could push peaks higher if skies clear earlier. Historical May 7 averages at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport hover at 13°C, tempering downside bets, while FMI's next update tomorrow morning may narrow the gap amid typical early-May variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 7?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 7?
14°C 29%
15°C 27%
13°C 25%
16°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
8%
13°C
25%
14°C
29%
15°C
27%
16°C
14%
17°C
4%
18°C
1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 29%
15°C 27%
13°C 25%
16°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
9°C or below
$5 Vol.
1%
10°C
$28 Vol.
1%
11°C
$13 Vol.
5%
12°C
$8 Vol.
8%
13°C
$50 Vol.
25%
14°C
$0 Vol.
29%
15°C
$12 Vol.
27%
16°C
$38 Vol.
14%
17°C
$353 Vol.
4%
18°C
$136 Vol.
1%
19°C or higher
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 12–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) short-range forecasts showing daytime highs near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, aligned with a cool northerly airflow over the Baltic region. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit a 3–4°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover thickness, solar insolation timing, and high-pressure ridge strength over Scandinavia—factors that could push peaks higher if skies clear earlier. Historical May 7 averages at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport hover at 13°C, tempering downside bets, while FMI's next update tomorrow morning may narrow the gap amid typical early-May variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volumen
$648Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 12–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) short-range forecasts showing daytime highs near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, aligned with a cool northerly airflow over the Baltic region. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit a 3–4°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover thickness, solar insolation timing, and high-pressure ridge strength over Scandinavia—factors that could push peaks higher if skies clear earlier. Historical May 7 averages at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport hover at 13°C, tempering downside bets, while FMI's next update tomorrow morning may narrow the gap amid typical early-May variability.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$648Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:17 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tightly clusters implied probabilities around 12–15°C for Helsinki's highest temperature on May 7, reflecting Finnish Meteorological Institute (FMI) short-range forecasts showing daytime highs near 10–12°C under partly cloudy skies and light southwest winds, aligned with a cool northerly airflow over the Baltic region. This positioning stems from yesterday's model updates, where ECMWF and GFS ensembles exhibit a 3–4°C spread due to uncertainties in cloud cover thickness, solar insolation timing, and high-pressure ridge strength over Scandinavia—factors that could push peaks higher if skies clear earlier. Historical May 7 averages at Helsinki-Vantaa Airport hover at 13°C, tempering downside bets, while FMI's next update tomorrow morning may narrow the gap amid typical early-May variability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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