The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest hourly forecast, updated midday on May 5, pins Helsinki's maximum temperature at 12°C from 13:00 to 17:00, matching current observations that have already peaked at this level amid persistent westerly winds of 6–7 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 12°C, reflecting strong alignment across observational data and short-range model guidance as peak heating hours pass. Below May's climatological average of 15°C due to cool airflow, realistic challenges would require improbable sudden clearing for enhanced solar heating to nudge 13°C before midnight, but declining evening forecasts and sustained winds make this unlikely. Final FMI observations will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Helsinki on May 5?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on May 5?
12°C 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$55,151 Vol.
$55,151 Vol.
5 may 2026
12°C
100%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 99.6%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
$55,151 Vol.
$55,151 Vol.
5 may 2026
12°C
$9,719 Vol.
100%
13°C
$5,612 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$7,213 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$8,948 Vol.
<1%
16°C or higher
$11,317 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest hourly forecast, updated midday on May 5, pins Helsinki's maximum temperature at 12°C from 13:00 to 17:00, matching current observations that have already peaked at this level amid persistent westerly winds of 6–7 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 12°C, reflecting strong alignment across observational data and short-range model guidance as peak heating hours pass. Below May's climatological average of 15°C due to cool airflow, realistic challenges would require improbable sudden clearing for enhanced solar heating to nudge 13°C before midnight, but declining evening forecasts and sustained winds make this unlikely. Final FMI observations will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volumen
$55,151Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest hourly forecast, updated midday on May 5, pins Helsinki's maximum temperature at 12°C from 13:00 to 17:00, matching current observations that have already peaked at this level amid persistent westerly winds of 6–7 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 12°C, reflecting strong alignment across observational data and short-range model guidance as peak heating hours pass. Below May's climatological average of 15°C due to cool airflow, realistic challenges would require improbable sudden clearing for enhanced solar heating to nudge 13°C before midnight, but declining evening forecasts and sustained winds make this unlikely. Final FMI observations will confirm resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$55,151Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Finnish Meteorological Institute's (FMI) latest hourly forecast, updated midday on May 5, pins Helsinki's maximum temperature at 12°C from 13:00 to 17:00, matching current observations that have already peaked at this level amid persistent westerly winds of 6–7 m/s and minimal precipitation risk. This drives the market's 99.6% implied probability on 12°C, reflecting strong alignment across observational data and short-range model guidance as peak heating hours pass. Below May's climatological average of 15°C due to cool airflow, realistic challenges would require improbable sudden clearing for enhanced solar heating to nudge 13°C before midnight, but declining evening forecasts and sustained winds make this unlikely. Final FMI observations will confirm resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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