AEMET's latest forecast, updated May 4, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C in Madrid today amid partly cloudy skies, 30% precipitation chance, and westerly winds at 15 km/h, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes with 20°C leading at 56% implied probability and 19°C at 25.5%. Yesterday's observed peak of 21.4°C at Ciudad Universitaria reflects recent mild conditions, but increased cloud cover and a cooler air mass are expected to suppress highs, aligning with morning readings of 14–15°C across key stations like Aeropuerto and Retiro as of 10:30. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show similar 19–21°C ranges with uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns; real-time AEMET observations this afternoon will refine resolution near the 19–20°C threshold typical for early May climatology.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Madrid on May 5?
Highest temperature in Madrid on May 5?
20°C 51%
19°C 24%
21°C 15.1%
22°C 2.8%
$43,353 Vol.
$43,353 Vol.
5 may 2026
14°C or below
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
2%
19°C
24%
20°C
51%
21°C
15%
22°C
3%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
20°C 51%
19°C 24%
21°C 15.1%
22°C 2.8%
$43,353 Vol.
$43,353 Vol.
5 may 2026
14°C or below
$704 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$1,517 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$3,610 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$6,036 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$6,514 Vol.
2%
19°C
$2,916 Vol.
24%
20°C
$2,932 Vol.
51%
21°C
$5,539 Vol.
15%
22°C
$4,886 Vol.
3%
23°C
$3,740 Vol.
1%
24°C or higher
$4,963 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast, updated May 4, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C in Madrid today amid partly cloudy skies, 30% precipitation chance, and westerly winds at 15 km/h, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes with 20°C leading at 56% implied probability and 19°C at 25.5%. Yesterday's observed peak of 21.4°C at Ciudad Universitaria reflects recent mild conditions, but increased cloud cover and a cooler air mass are expected to suppress highs, aligning with morning readings of 14–15°C across key stations like Aeropuerto and Retiro as of 10:30. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show similar 19–21°C ranges with uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns; real-time AEMET observations this afternoon will refine resolution near the 19–20°C threshold typical for early May climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Volumen
$43,353Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest forecast, updated May 4, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C in Madrid today amid partly cloudy skies, 30% precipitation chance, and westerly winds at 15 km/h, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes with 20°C leading at 56% implied probability and 19°C at 25.5%. Yesterday's observed peak of 21.4°C at Ciudad Universitaria reflects recent mild conditions, but increased cloud cover and a cooler air mass are expected to suppress highs, aligning with morning readings of 14–15°C across key stations like Aeropuerto and Retiro as of 10:30. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show similar 19–21°C ranges with uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns; real-time AEMET observations this afternoon will refine resolution near the 19–20°C threshold typical for early May climatology.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$43,353Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET's latest forecast, updated May 4, projects a maximum temperature of 19°C in Madrid today amid partly cloudy skies, 30% precipitation chance, and westerly winds at 15 km/h, driving trader consensus toward nearby outcomes with 20°C leading at 56% implied probability and 19°C at 25.5%. Yesterday's observed peak of 21.4°C at Ciudad Universitaria reflects recent mild conditions, but increased cloud cover and a cooler air mass are expected to suppress highs, aligning with morning readings of 14–15°C across key stations like Aeropuerto and Retiro as of 10:30. ECMWF and GFS model ensembles show similar 19–21°C ranges with uncertainty from evolving cloud patterns; real-time AEMET observations this afternoon will refine resolution near the 19–20°C threshold typical for early May climatology.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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