Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 7, with ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections centering around 19-20°C amid autumn cooling trends. Recent mild conditions through May 5, with highs near 20°C, have given way to anticipated partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, capping daytime heating while sea breeze from the Río de la Plata moderates peaks. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, potentially tipping outcomes by 1°C; historical early-May highs average 18-20°C with low variance. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 7?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 7?
20°C 26%
21°C 24%
19°C 20%
22°C 10.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
1%
17°C
2%
18°C
8%
19°C
20%
20°C
26%
21°C
24%
22°C
11%
23°C or higher
6%
20°C 26%
21°C 24%
19°C 20%
22°C 10.8%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
13°C or below
$52 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$82 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$57 Vol.
1%
17°C
$63 Vol.
2%
18°C
$424 Vol.
8%
19°C
$209 Vol.
20%
20°C
$153 Vol.
26%
21°C
$206 Vol.
24%
22°C
$166 Vol.
11%
23°C or higher
$362 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 7, with ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections centering around 19-20°C amid autumn cooling trends. Recent mild conditions through May 5, with highs near 20°C, have given way to anticipated partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, capping daytime heating while sea breeze from the Río de la Plata moderates peaks. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, potentially tipping outcomes by 1°C; historical early-May highs average 18-20°C with low variance. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volumen
$1,775Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 7, with ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections centering around 19-20°C amid autumn cooling trends. Recent mild conditions through May 5, with highs near 20°C, have given way to anticipated partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, capping daytime heating while sea breeze from the Río de la Plata moderates peaks. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, potentially tipping outcomes by 1°C; historical early-May highs average 18-20°C with low variance. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,775Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:11 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast model agreement for Buenos Aires' highest temperature on May 7, with ensembles from GFS, ECMWF, and local Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) projections centering around 19-20°C amid autumn cooling trends. Recent mild conditions through May 5, with highs near 20°C, have given way to anticipated partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, capping daytime heating while sea breeze from the Río de la Plata moderates peaks. Differentiating factors include subtle model divergences on afternoon cloud cover and boundary layer mixing, potentially tipping outcomes by 1°C; historical early-May highs average 18-20°C with low variance. New 12Z model runs expected today could refine probabilities as resolution nears.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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