Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (48.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a peak of 24°C amid northwest winds of 13-22 km/h transporting warmer air masses ahead of an approaching cyclogenesis system. This marks an ascenso térmico from yesterday's 21°C high, aligning with model consensus from short-range guidance showing peaks clustered at 23-25°C, while 22°C and below trail due to persistent above-average warmth for early May (historical average ~19°C per NOAA baselines). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover and storm timing, with hourly SMN updates and Aeroparque station observations key to resolution as the afternoon progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 5?
24°C 53%
25°C 21%
23°C 19%
26°C 2.8%
$45,232 Vol.
$45,232 Vol.
5 may 2026
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
19%
24°C
53%
25°C
21%
26°C
3%
27°C
<1%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 53%
25°C 21%
23°C 19%
26°C 2.8%
$45,232 Vol.
$45,232 Vol.
5 may 2026
18°C or below
$15,354 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$3,038 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$5,478 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$5,121 Vol.
1%
22°C
$3,335 Vol.
2%
23°C
$1,627 Vol.
19%
24°C
$1,406 Vol.
53%
25°C
$3,046 Vol.
21%
26°C
$2,955 Vol.
3%
27°C
$2,148 Vol.
<1%
28°C or higher
$1,755 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (48.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a peak of 24°C amid northwest winds of 13-22 km/h transporting warmer air masses ahead of an approaching cyclogenesis system. This marks an ascenso térmico from yesterday's 21°C high, aligning with model consensus from short-range guidance showing peaks clustered at 23-25°C, while 22°C and below trail due to persistent above-average warmth for early May (historical average ~19°C per NOAA baselines). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover and storm timing, with hourly SMN updates and Aeroparque station observations key to resolution as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volumen
$45,232Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (48.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a peak of 24°C amid northwest winds of 13-22 km/h transporting warmer air masses ahead of an approaching cyclogenesis system. This marks an ascenso térmico from yesterday's 21°C high, aligning with model consensus from short-range guidance showing peaks clustered at 23-25°C, while 22°C and below trail due to persistent above-average warmth for early May (historical average ~19°C per NOAA baselines). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover and storm timing, with hourly SMN updates and Aeroparque station observations key to resolution as the afternoon progresses.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$45,232Fecha de finalización
5 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 3, 2026, 12:06 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a highest temperature of 24°C (48.5% implied probability) in Buenos Aires today, driven by the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's (SMN) latest forecast projecting a peak of 24°C amid northwest winds of 13-22 km/h transporting warmer air masses ahead of an approaching cyclogenesis system. This marks an ascenso térmico from yesterday's 21°C high, aligning with model consensus from short-range guidance showing peaks clustered at 23-25°C, while 22°C and below trail due to persistent above-average warmth for early May (historical average ~19°C per NOAA baselines). Inherent forecast uncertainty persists from variable cloud cover and storm timing, with hourly SMN updates and Aeroparque station observations key to resolution as the afternoon progresses.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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