Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) on May 6, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C (32%) and 23°C (25.5%). Key differentiators include forecast cloudiness variability—persistent stratiform clouds from an approaching low-pressure system could limit solar insolation and peak at 23°C, while intermittent breaks might boost it to 24-25°C through enhanced surface heating. Mild southerly winds and sea-breeze moderation temper advection from warmer northerly flows, amid above-average autumn conditions (historical May Ezeiza highs average 18°C). Watch SMN hourly updates and real-time observations for resolution swings as uncertainty narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
Highest temperature in Buenos Aires on May 6?
24°C 35%
25°C 29.9%
23°C 15%
26°C 7.8%
$13,428 Vol.
$13,428 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
4%
24°C 35%
25°C 29.9%
23°C 15%
26°C 7.8%
$13,428 Vol.
$13,428 Vol.
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
3%
22°C
4%
23°C
15%
24°C
35%
25°C
30%
26°C
8%
27°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 4, 2026, 12:18 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Minister Pistarini Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ar/ezeiza/SAEZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) forecasts and global model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF indicate a maximum temperature near 23°C at Ministro Pistarini International Airport (Ezeiza) on May 6, fueling closely matched market-implied odds for 24°C (32%) and 23°C (25.5%). Key differentiators include forecast cloudiness variability—persistent stratiform clouds from an approaching low-pressure system could limit solar insolation and peak at 23°C, while intermittent breaks might boost it to 24-25°C through enhanced surface heating. Mild southerly winds and sea-breeze moderation temper advection from warmer northerly flows, amid above-average autumn conditions (historical May Ezeiza highs average 18°C). Watch SMN hourly updates and real-time observations for resolution swings as uncertainty narrows.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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