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PM predictions & odds

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Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?

33%

No Next PM in 2026

$5M Vol.

$649K Liq.

52

Ends in 8 months

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

Sanae Takaichi out as Prime Minister of Japan in 2026?

18%

$13.9K Vol.

$14.1K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

Next Prime Minister of Italy?

48%

Giorgia Meloni

$6.7K Vol.

$88.8K Liq.

7

Ends in over 2 years

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

Lecornu out as French PM by...?

32%

December 31, 2026

$321K Vol.

$24.3K Liq.

112

Ends in 8 months

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

Nawaf Salam out as Lebanon PM in 2026?

43%

$119 Vol.

$163 Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?

65%

$831 Vol.

$128 Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31?

82%

$74.0K Vol.

$28.9K Liq.

22

Ends in 8 months

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

20%

December 31, 2026

$125K Vol.

$38.1K Liq.

37

Ends in 8 months

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

Will the White House call a full lid by 6:30 PM? (May 4 - 9)

50%

May 4

$0 Vol.

$0 Liq.

Ends in 8 days

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

In which month will SpaceX IPO?

66%

June

$333K Vol.

$23.5K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

US x Iran ceasefire extended by...?

<1%

April 22

$195M Vol.

$71M today

$8M Liq.

5,894

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?

<1%

$57M Vol.

$8M today

$2M Liq.

4

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

2026 FIFA World Cup Winner

16%

France

$946M Vol.

$8M today

$196M Liq.

650

Ends in 3 months

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by...?

100%

April 26

$16M Vol.

$5M today

$5M Liq.

2,474

Printr public sale total commitments?

Printr public sale total commitments?

1%

>$3M

$8M Vol.

$4M today

$170K Liq.

165

Ends in about 1 month

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly Election Winner

86%

DMK

$20M Vol.

$3M today

$316K Liq.

471

Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

Elon Musk # tweets April 24 - May 1, 2026?

45%

180-199

$8M Vol.

$2M today

$2M Liq.

1

Ends in 1 day

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?

99%

$14M Vol.

$2M today

$536K Liq.

746

Ends in 8 months

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?

34%

June 30

$69M Vol.

$2M today

$1M Liq.

1,446

Ends in about 1 month

Eurovision Winner 2026

Eurovision Winner 2026

35%

Finland

$122M Vol.

$2M today

$14M Liq.

470

Ends in 15 days

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like PM.

Polymarket currently hosts 4444 active markets for PM that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Next UK Prime Minister in 2026?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $1.5B in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “2026 FIFA World Cup Winner ,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 16% chance to France. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on PM predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.