Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 brackets tied at 17.5% because Elon Musk’s recent weekly pace of roughly 25-30 posts per day projects totals in that 175-210 range for the June 16-23 window. Similar Polymarket markets for adjacent periods confirm this baseline, with daily averages near 27 drawn from verified activity trackers. Variability in his output—driven by news cycles, platform engagement, and personal schedule—keeps the top bins closely contested, while lower and higher ranges attract smaller stakes reflecting historical outliers. No major catalysts appear on the immediate horizon that would sharply accelerate or suppress volume before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 16%
160-179 10%
$484,043 Vol.
$484,043 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
7%
160-179
10%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
10%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
180-199 18%
200-219 18%
220-239 16%
160-179 10%
$484,043 Vol.
$484,043 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
3%
120-139
5%
140-159
7%
160-179
10%
180-199
18%
200-219
18%
220-239
16%
240-259
10%
260-279
7%
280-299
4%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 180-199 and 200-219 brackets tied at 17.5% because Elon Musk’s recent weekly pace of roughly 25-30 posts per day projects totals in that 175-210 range for the June 16-23 window. Similar Polymarket markets for adjacent periods confirm this baseline, with daily averages near 27 drawn from verified activity trackers. Variability in his output—driven by news cycles, platform engagement, and personal schedule—keeps the top bins closely contested, while lower and higher ranges attract smaller stakes reflecting historical outliers. No major catalysts appear on the immediate horizon that would sharply accelerate or suppress volume before the period closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions