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Starmer predictions & odds

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Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

80%

December 31

$32M Vol.

$60.7K today

$307K Liq.

1,758

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

What will Keir Starmer say at the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

91%

Thank 5+ times

$1.7K Vol.

$4.2K Liq.

Ends in 3 days

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

No-Confidence Vote against Starmer by June 30?

10%

$43.6K Vol.

$9.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Who will Trump speak to in June?

Who will Trump speak to in June?

99%

Vladimir Putin

$425K Vol.

$109K today

$266K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

35%

Keir Starmer

$831K Vol.

$102K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Who will Trump meet with in June?

Who will Trump meet with in June?

98%

Keir Starmer

$105K Vol.

$83.7K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)

56%

Petro - Colombia President

$823K Vol.

$277K Liq.

12

Ends in 7 months

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

Who will Trump meet with in 2026?

98%

Giorgia Meloni

$541K Vol.

$117K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

Candidates in next Labour leadership election?

75%

Andy Burnham

$23.4K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?

34%

$20.9K Vol.

$36.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 days

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

Makerfield by-election: 2nd Place

74%

Robert Kenyon

$150K Vol.

$177K Liq.

1

Ends in 3 days

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

Makerfield by-election: Margin of Victory

35%

Burnham 9%+

$30.0K Vol.

$64.1K Liq.

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)

51%

Labour

$93 Vol.

$163 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

Rio Grande do Sul Governor Election Winner

44%

Juliana Brizola

$64.4K Vol.

$35.7K Liq.

Ends in 4 months

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts June 16 - June 23, 2026?

43%

60-79

$2.0K Vol.

$8.9K Liq.

Ends in 9 days

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

74%

Not revealed in 2026

$14.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

What will be said during the 2026 Sidemen Charity Match?

-

$29.4K Vol.

17

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13

88%

August 31

$13.9K Vol.

$56.7K Liq.

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

Labour leadership election scheduled by ...?

56%

December 31, 2026

$76.0K Vol.

$585 Liq.

5

Ends in 15 days

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

17%

December 31, 2026

$787K Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

14

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Starmer.

Polymarket currently hosts 113 active markets for Starmer that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Starmer out by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $35.7M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Makerfield by-election: Restore Britain receives 10%+?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Starmer out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Starmer out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 80% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Starmer predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.