Recent polling from sources including Emerson, Marquette, NBC News, and aggregators places President Trump's job approval in the 35-39% range as of mid-June 2026, with several surveys hitting second-term lows near 37-39% amid the ongoing Iran conflict and elevated inflation. These results have stabilized trader expectations for the June 19 reading, concentrating probability on the 38.5-39.4 bands. Short-term stability appears likely absent major new developments before that date, as economic concerns and foreign policy developments continue to weigh on ratings while partisan divides limit volatility. Upcoming midterm dynamics may influence longer-term trends but are not expected to shift the immediate snapshot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTrump approval rating on June 19?
Trump approval rating on June 19?
38.5–38.9 52%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.0–38.4 28%
39.5–39.9 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<38.0
4%
38.0–38.4
25%
38.5–38.9
48%
39.0–39.4
31%
39.5–39.9
9%
40,0+
2%
38.5–38.9 52%
39.0–39.4 31%
38.0–38.4 28%
39.5–39.9 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
19 jun 2026
<38.0
$442 Vol.
4%
38.0–38.4
$330 Vol.
25%
38.5–38.9
$170 Vol.
48%
39.0–39.4
$280 Vol.
31%
39.5–39.9
$201 Vol.
9%
40,0+
$399 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from sources including Emerson, Marquette, NBC News, and aggregators places President Trump's job approval in the 35-39% range as of mid-June 2026, with several surveys hitting second-term lows near 37-39% amid the ongoing Iran conflict and elevated inflation. These results have stabilized trader expectations for the June 19 reading, concentrating probability on the 38.5-39.4 bands. Short-term stability appears likely absent major new developments before that date, as economic concerns and foreign policy developments continue to weigh on ratings while partisan divides limit volatility. Upcoming midterm dynamics may influence longer-term trends but are not expected to shift the immediate snapshot.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Volumen
$1,822Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling from sources including Emerson, Marquette, NBC News, and aggregators places President Trump's job approval in the 35-39% range as of mid-June 2026, with several surveys hitting second-term lows near 37-39% amid the ongoing Iran conflict and elevated inflation. These results have stabilized trader expectations for the June 19 reading, concentrating probability on the 38.5-39.4 bands. Short-term stability appears likely absent major new developments before that date, as economic concerns and foreign policy developments continue to weigh on ratings while partisan divides limit volatility. Upcoming midterm dynamics may influence longer-term trends but are not expected to shift the immediate snapshot.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 19, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$1,822Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:25 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling from sources including Emerson, Marquette, NBC News, and aggregators places President Trump's job approval in the 35-39% range as of mid-June 2026, with several surveys hitting second-term lows near 37-39% amid the ongoing Iran conflict and elevated inflation. These results have stabilized trader expectations for the June 19 reading, concentrating probability on the 38.5-39.4 bands. Short-term stability appears likely absent major new developments before that date, as economic concerns and foreign policy developments continue to weigh on ratings while partisan divides limit volatility. Upcoming midterm dynamics may influence longer-term trends but are not expected to shift the immediate snapshot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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