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World predictions & odds

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Brazil Presidential Election

Brazil Presidential Election

43%

Flávio Bolsonaro

$63M Vol.

$1M today

$4M Liq.

5,694

Ends in 5 months

Next French Presidential Election

Next French Presidential Election

22%

Jordan Bardella

$56M Vol.

$1M today

$5M Liq.

427

Ends in 12 months

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

12%

$8M Vol.

$860K today

$198K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

35%

$19M Vol.

$570K today

$300K Liq.

1

Ends in 8 months

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?

8%

$36M Vol.

$511K today

$531K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

Next Prime Minister of Hungary

99%

Péter Magyar

$95M Vol.

$502K today

$3M Liq.

2,109

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

2026 Seoul Mayoral Election Winner

87%

Chong Won-oh

$34M Vol.

$469K today

$4M Liq.

45

Ends in about 1 month

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?

<1%

$10M Vol.

$389K today

$76.0K Liq.

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?

62%

United Russia (ER)

$7M Vol.

$383K today

$365K Liq.

154

Ends in 5 months

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

7%

$23M Vol.

$335K today

$980K Liq.

71

Ends in 8 months

Starmer out by...?

Starmer out by...?

67%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$315K today

$312K Liq.

673

Netanyahu out by...?

Netanyahu out by...?

44%

December 31

$120M Vol.

$248K today

$276K Liq.

33

Ends in 8 months

 Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

Colombia Presidential Election 1st round winner?

92%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$5M Vol.

$248K today

$1M Liq.

19

Ends in about 1 month

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

Will the US officially declare war on Iran by...?

8%

December 31

$7M Vol.

$217K today

$145K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Colombia Presidential Election

Colombia Presidential Election

39%

Iván Cepeda Castro

$27M Vol.

$206K today

$2M Liq.

398

Ends in about 2 months

Will Trump visit China by...?

Will Trump visit China by...?

82%

June 30

$28M Vol.

$181K today

$155K Liq.

495

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by...?

14%

December 31

$17M Vol.

$161K today

$317K Liq.

362

Ends in 2 months

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

8%

$9M Vol.

$156K today

$85.7K Liq.

705

Ends in 8 months

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?

2%

$8M Vol.

$120K today

$104K Liq.

Ends in 2 months

Next leader out of power before 2027?
World

Next leader out of power before 2027?

94%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$7M Vol.

$98.6K today

$570K Liq.

Ends in 8 months

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like World.

Polymarket currently hosts 20 active markets for World that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Brazil Presidential Election”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $594.6M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Netanyahu out by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Netanyahu out by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 44% chance to December 31. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on World predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.