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Congress predictions & odds

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Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?

3%

$133K Vol.

$52.4K today

$34.4K Liq.

Ends in 15 days

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

US congress stock trading ban before 2027?

9%

$18.3K Vol.

$9.7K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

Will Pam Bondi be held in contempt of Congress by...?

18%

June 30

$18.1K Vol.

$25 Liq.

Ends in 15 days

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

Who will testify to congress about Epstein?

6%

Ex-Prince Andrew

$61.5K Vol.

$17.1K Liq.

11

Ends in 15 days

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

Armenia Parliamentary Election Winner

100%

Civil Contract

$1M Vol.

$534K Liq.

42

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?

96%

North Carolina

$306K Vol.

$249K Liq.

5

Ends in 5 months

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

New Virginia congressional map used in the midterms?

4%

$63.1K Vol.

$18.4K Liq.

21

Ends in 5 months

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

31%

December 31, 2026

$3M Vol.

$6.3K Liq.

135

Ends in 7 months

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by...?

13%

June 30

$165K Vol.

$315 Liq.

10

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

Speaker of the House after the midterms?

60%

Hakeem Jeffries

$2.1K Vol.

$11.4K Liq.

Ends in 7 months

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

H.R. 22 (SAVE Act) signed into law in 2026?

8%

$168K Vol.

$21.3K Liq.

20

Ends in 7 months

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?

74%

Not revealed in 2026

$14.0K Vol.

$10.1K Liq.

5

Ends in 7 months

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

2026 Midterms: House Turnout

27%

130m+

$7.4K Vol.

$45.4K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

CO-03 House Election Winner

CO-03 House Election Winner

56%

Republican Party

$1.1K Vol.

$145 Liq.

Ends in 5 months

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

SAVE Act becomes law by...?

22%

December 31

$440K Vol.

$16.7K Liq.

5

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

H.R. 7296 (SAVE America Act) becomes law by...?

2%

June 30

$66.0K Vol.

$8.1K Liq.

2

Ends in 15 days

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

CA-14 Special Election Winner?

90%

Aisha Wahab

$2.9K Vol.

$1.3K Liq.

1

Ends in 2 months

CO-02 House Election Winner

CO-02 House Election Winner

94%

Democratic Party

$31.0K Vol.

$25.7K Liq.

Ends in 5 months

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

Steve Bannon exonerated by...?

21%

June 30

$29.9K Vol.

$971 Liq.

1

Ends in 15 days

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

59%

December 31, 2027

$501K Vol.

$7.8K Liq.

31

Ends in over 1 year

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Congress.

Polymarket currently hosts 135 active markets for Congress that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $5.8M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by June 30?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “MegaETH airdrop by...?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 26% chance to December 31, 2026. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Congress predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.