Recent analyses of Donald Trump's Truth Social activity show elevated posting rates in 2026, averaging 18 posts per day in April and spiking to 27 daily in May amid foreign policy developments including the Iran conflict and related diplomatic statements. This variability, combined with his pattern of concentrated bursts tied to news cycles, scheduled events, or grievances, has produced closely matched trader consensus across multiple ranges from 80-199 posts for the June 16-23 window. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement with topics like trade, domestic policy, or international affairs will push totals higher or if routine lulls will moderate volume, with separation likely hinging on any major announcements or escalations within the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated100-119 35%
80-99 32%
160-179 32%
200+ 32%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
1%
40-59
4%
60-79
32%
80-99
32%
100-119
34%
120-139
31%
140-159
31%
160-179
32%
180-199
31%
200+
32%
100-119 35%
80-99 32%
160-179 32%
200+ 32%
NEW
NEW
Jun 23, 2026
<20
$10 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$0 Vol.
1%
40-59
$0 Vol.
4%
60-79
$0 Vol.
32%
80-99
$0 Vol.
32%
100-119
$11 Vol.
34%
120-139
$0 Vol.
31%
140-159
$0 Vol.
31%
160-179
$0 Vol.
32%
180-199
$0 Vol.
31%
200+
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent analyses of Donald Trump's Truth Social activity show elevated posting rates in 2026, averaging 18 posts per day in April and spiking to 27 daily in May amid foreign policy developments including the Iran conflict and related diplomatic statements. This variability, combined with his pattern of concentrated bursts tied to news cycles, scheduled events, or grievances, has produced closely matched trader consensus across multiple ranges from 80-199 posts for the June 16-23 window. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement with topics like trade, domestic policy, or international affairs will push totals higher or if routine lulls will moderate volume, with separation likely hinging on any major announcements or escalations within the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$21End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent analyses of Donald Trump's Truth Social activity show elevated posting rates in 2026, averaging 18 posts per day in April and spiking to 27 daily in May amid foreign policy developments including the Iran conflict and related diplomatic statements. This variability, combined with his pattern of concentrated bursts tied to news cycles, scheduled events, or grievances, has produced closely matched trader consensus across multiple ranges from 80-199 posts for the June 16-23 window. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement with topics like trade, domestic policy, or international affairs will push totals higher or if routine lulls will moderate volume, with separation likely hinging on any major announcements or escalations within the period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between June 16, 12:00 PM ET and June 23, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$21End Date
Jun 23, 2026Market Opened
Jun 13, 2026, 12:01 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent analyses of Donald Trump's Truth Social activity show elevated posting rates in 2026, averaging 18 posts per day in April and spiking to 27 daily in May amid foreign policy developments including the Iran conflict and related diplomatic statements. This variability, combined with his pattern of concentrated bursts tied to news cycles, scheduled events, or grievances, has produced closely matched trader consensus across multiple ranges from 80-199 posts for the June 16-23 window. The tight distribution reflects uncertainty over whether sustained engagement with topics like trade, domestic policy, or international affairs will push totals higher or if routine lulls will moderate volume, with separation likely hinging on any major announcements or escalations within the period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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