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icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

icon for Trump approval Up or Down this week?

Trump approval Up or Down this week?

jun 19

jun 19

Up

49% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO

Up

49% probabilidad
Polymarket
NUEVO
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls show President Trump's job approval hovering near record second-term lows around 36-40 percent, pressured by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation handling and the ongoing conflict with Iran, where majorities view U.S. involvement as a mistake. These trends, reflected in aggregates from sources like the New York Times/Siena and Economist/YouGov, have sustained downward momentum in net approval into early June, contributing to the slight trader lean toward a weekly decline. Offsetting factors include modest rebounds in some tracking averages and the absence of major new negative catalysts in the immediate term. Developments that could shift the balance include fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or diplomatic updates on Iran, any of which might alter short-term momentum in either direction given the closely divided market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polls show President Trump's job approval hovering near record second-term lows around 36-40 percent, pressured by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation handling and the ongoing conflict with Iran, where majorities view U.S. involvement as a mistake. These trends, reflected in aggregates from sources like the New York Times/Siena and Economist/YouGov, have sustained downward momentum in net approval into early June, contributing to the slight trader lean toward a weekly decline. Offsetting factors include modest rebounds in some tracking averages and the absence of major new negative catalysts in the immediate term. Developments that could shift the balance include fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or diplomatic updates on Iran, any of which might alter short-term momentum in either direction given the closely divided market.

This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.

This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.

The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.

If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.

This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.

The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
19 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Up" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 19, 2026, than on June 12, 2026. This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026. This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date. The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date. If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead. This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used. The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" es un mercado de predicción diario en Polymarket donde los operadores compran y venden acciones sobre si el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? terminará más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que su precio de apertura durante la ventana diario especificada en el título. La probabilidad actual del mercado es 51% para "Down". Un precio de 51% significa que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 51% a ese resultado. Los precios se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los movimientos de precio en vivo de Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Trump approval Up or Down this week?" es un mercado activo a corto plazo en Polymarket. El volumen de trading puede acumularse rápidamente a medida que avanza la ventana diario, entra temprano para ayudar a establecer las probabilidades antes de que esta ventana cierre.

Para operar en "Trump approval Up or Down this week?", decide si crees que el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? al mediodía ET del June 19 será más alto ("Up") o más bajo ("Down") que al mediodía ET del June 12. Compra "Up" si crees que el precio subirá, o "Down" si crees que bajará. Introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado es correcto, cada acción paga $1,00. Si es incorrecto, las acciones valen $0.

La probabilidad actual para "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" es 51% para "Down", lo que significa que la comunidad de Polymarket actualmente asigna una probabilidad de 51% de que el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? terminará down durante esta ventana diario. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores reaccionan a los datos de precio en vivo de Trump approval Up or Down this week?. Durante un día completo, las probabilidades reflejan el sentimiento en evolución a medida que se desarrolla la acción de precio del día. Vuelve con frecuencia u opera ahora antes de que la ventana cierre.

El mercado "Trump approval Up or Down this week?" se resuelve comparando el precio de Trump approval Up or Down this week? al mediodía ET del June 19 con el del mediodía ET del June 12, usando los precios de cierre de velas de 1 minuto de Binance TRUMP-APPROVAL/USDT. Si el precio al mediodía del June 19 es mayor, el resultado es "Up"; si es menor, "Down"; si es igual, el mercado se resuelve 50-50. Puedes revisar los criterios completos en la sección "Reglas".