Recent polls show President Trump's job approval hovering near record second-term lows around 36-40 percent, pressured by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation handling and the ongoing conflict with Iran, where majorities view U.S. involvement as a mistake. These trends, reflected in aggregates from sources like the New York Times/Siena and Economist/YouGov, have sustained downward momentum in net approval into early June, contributing to the slight trader lean toward a weekly decline. Offsetting factors include modest rebounds in some tracking averages and the absence of major new negative catalysts in the immediate term. Developments that could shift the balance include fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or diplomatic updates on Iran, any of which might alter short-term momentum in either direction given the closely divided market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoUp
Up
This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 7:23 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Down" if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is higher on June 12, 2026, than on June 19, 2026.
This market will resolve to 50-50 if Donald Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating is the same on each date.
The data point for the second reference date will only be considered once a subsequent day’s data point has been published, thereby finalizing the value for the second date.
If no data point is published for the first reference date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
If no data point is published for the second reference date by 12:00 PM ET on the third calendar day after that date, the most recent prior day with a published data point will be used instead.
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls show President Trump's job approval hovering near record second-term lows around 36-40 percent, pressured by widespread dissatisfaction with inflation handling and the ongoing conflict with Iran, where majorities view U.S. involvement as a mistake. These trends, reflected in aggregates from sources like the New York Times/Siena and Economist/YouGov, have sustained downward momentum in net approval into early June, contributing to the slight trader lean toward a weekly decline. Offsetting factors include modest rebounds in some tracking averages and the absence of major new negative catalysts in the immediate term. Developments that could shift the balance include fresh polling releases, economic data releases, or diplomatic updates on Iran, any of which might alter short-term momentum in either direction given the closely divided market.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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