Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after Election Day reflects the structural headwinds typical of midterms under unified Republican control in Washington, including generic ballot polling that favors Democrats by several points and open-seat dynamics in competitive states. Recent forecast shifts, such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and continued attention on races in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan, have reinforced expectations of modest net losses rather than large swings. Historical patterns of opposition-party gains in off-year contests, combined with term-limited incumbents and varying state-level candidate recruitment, keep outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while limiting the probability of double-digit changes in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado24–25 37%
22–23 25%
26–27 16%
<22 10%
$678,101 Vol.
$678,101 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
14%
22–23
25%
24–25
37%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
24–25 37%
22–23 25%
26–27 16%
<22 10%
$678,101 Vol.
$678,101 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$46,522 Vol.
14%
22–23
$8,153 Vol.
25%
24–25
$31,073 Vol.
37%
26–27
$15,376 Vol.
16%
28–29
$555,663 Vol.
5%
30–31
$7,361 Vol.
1%
32+
$13,953 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after Election Day reflects the structural headwinds typical of midterms under unified Republican control in Washington, including generic ballot polling that favors Democrats by several points and open-seat dynamics in competitive states. Recent forecast shifts, such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and continued attention on races in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan, have reinforced expectations of modest net losses rather than large swings. Historical patterns of opposition-party gains in off-year contests, combined with term-limited incumbents and varying state-level candidate recruitment, keep outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while limiting the probability of double-digit changes in either direction.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$678,101Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after Election Day reflects the structural headwinds typical of midterms under unified Republican control in Washington, including generic ballot polling that favors Democrats by several points and open-seat dynamics in competitive states. Recent forecast shifts, such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and continued attention on races in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan, have reinforced expectations of modest net losses rather than large swings. Historical patterns of opposition-party gains in off-year contests, combined with term-limited incumbents and varying state-level candidate recruitment, keep outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while limiting the probability of double-digit changes in either direction.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$678,101Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republicans currently hold 26 governorships to Democrats’ 24 heading into the November 2026 elections, with 18 seats from each party on the ballot across 36 states. Trader consensus around 22–25 Republican governors after Election Day reflects the structural headwinds typical of midterms under unified Republican control in Washington, including generic ballot polling that favors Democrats by several points and open-seat dynamics in competitive states. Recent forecast shifts, such as Iowa moving toward toss-up status and continued attention on races in Arizona, Wisconsin, and Michigan, have reinforced expectations of modest net losses rather than large swings. Historical patterns of opposition-party gains in off-year contests, combined with term-limited incumbents and varying state-level candidate recruitment, keep outcomes clustered in the low-to-mid 20s while limiting the probability of double-digit changes in either direction.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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