With 26 Republican governors entering the 2026 cycle and 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties, traders see modest net losses as the most probable outcome. Eighteen Republican-held seats face voters, including multiple open contests created by term limits, while Democratic-held races in states with varying partisan leans add uncertainty. Early forecasts highlight competitive dynamics in battleground states and open seats, where candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-specific polling will shape final margins. No dominant national wave has emerged yet, leaving room for modest shifts in either direction depending on turnout and late-cycle developments through November. This setup aligns with current pricing clustering around 22–25 Republican governors after the elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado24–25 38%
22–23 25%
26–27 16%
<22 10%
$678,101 Vol.
$678,101 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
14%
22–23
25%
24–25
38%
26–27
16%
28–29
5%
30–31
1%
32+
1%
24–25 38%
22–23 25%
26–27 16%
<22 10%
$678,101 Vol.
$678,101 Vol.
3 nov 2026
<22
$46,522 Vol.
14%
22–23
$8,153 Vol.
25%
24–25
$31,073 Vol.
38%
26–27
$15,376 Vol.
16%
28–29
$555,663 Vol.
5%
30–31
$7,361 Vol.
1%
32+
$13,953 Vol.
1%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.With 26 Republican governors entering the 2026 cycle and 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties, traders see modest net losses as the most probable outcome. Eighteen Republican-held seats face voters, including multiple open contests created by term limits, while Democratic-held races in states with varying partisan leans add uncertainty. Early forecasts highlight competitive dynamics in battleground states and open seats, where candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-specific polling will shape final margins. No dominant national wave has emerged yet, leaving room for modest shifts in either direction depending on turnout and late-cycle developments through November. This setup aligns with current pricing clustering around 22–25 Republican governors after the elections.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ET
Volumen
$678,101Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.With 26 Republican governors entering the 2026 cycle and 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties, traders see modest net losses as the most probable outcome. Eighteen Republican-held seats face voters, including multiple open contests created by term limits, while Democratic-held races in states with varying partisan leans add uncertainty. Early forecasts highlight competitive dynamics in battleground states and open seats, where candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-specific polling will shape final margins. No dominant national wave has emerged yet, leaving room for modest shifts in either direction depending on turnout and late-cycle developments through November. This setup aligns with current pricing clustering around 22–25 Republican governors after the elections.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the party distribution of governors as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the November 2026 gubernatorial elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all relevant gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$678,101Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 15, 2025, 8:21 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...With 26 Republican governors entering the 2026 cycle and 36 seats on the ballot evenly split between the parties, traders see modest net losses as the most probable outcome. Eighteen Republican-held seats face voters, including multiple open contests created by term limits, while Democratic-held races in states with varying partisan leans add uncertainty. Early forecasts highlight competitive dynamics in battleground states and open seats, where candidate recruitment, primary results, and state-specific polling will shape final margins. No dominant national wave has emerged yet, leaving room for modest shifts in either direction depending on turnout and late-cycle developments through November. This setup aligns with current pricing clustering around 22–25 Republican governors after the elections.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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