The 2026 Senate map favors Republican defense of their current 53-seat majority, with 22 GOP-held seats up versus 13 Democratic ones, yet early polling and candidate developments keep the final Republican total widely dispersed across market outcomes near 49–51. Key differentiators include Democratic vulnerabilities in Georgia (Ossoff) and the open Michigan seat, alongside Republican holds in states like Texas, Iowa, and Maine, where recent surveys show tight contests. Midterm dynamics under the current administration, voter turnout patterns, and any shifts in economic or national conditions could consolidate support around specific seat totals, while retirements and primary results add further uncertainty ahead of November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$2,635,784 Vol.
$2,635,784 Vol.
≤47
28%
48
12%
49
16%
50
16%
51
18%
52
9%
53
2%
54
2%
55
1%
56
1%
57+
2%
$2,635,784 Vol.
$2,635,784 Vol.
≤47
$118,134 Vol.
28%
48
$39,544 Vol.
12%
49
$46,894 Vol.
16%
50
$108,065 Vol.
16%
51
$212,737 Vol.
18%
52
$579,433 Vol.
9%
53
$63,866 Vol.
2%
54
$753,858 Vol.
2%
55
$427,258 Vol.
1%
56
$179,291 Vol.
1%
57+
$106,703 Vol.
2%
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Senate map favors Republican defense of their current 53-seat majority, with 22 GOP-held seats up versus 13 Democratic ones, yet early polling and candidate developments keep the final Republican total widely dispersed across market outcomes near 49–51. Key differentiators include Democratic vulnerabilities in Georgia (Ossoff) and the open Michigan seat, alongside Republican holds in states like Texas, Iowa, and Maine, where recent surveys show tight contests. Midterm dynamics under the current administration, voter turnout patterns, and any shifts in economic or national conditions could consolidate support around specific seat totals, while retirements and primary results add further uncertainty ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ET
Volumen
$2,635,784Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.The 2026 Senate map favors Republican defense of their current 53-seat majority, with 22 GOP-held seats up versus 13 Democratic ones, yet early polling and candidate developments keep the final Republican total widely dispersed across market outcomes near 49–51. Key differentiators include Democratic vulnerabilities in Georgia (Ossoff) and the open Michigan seat, alongside Republican holds in states like Texas, Iowa, and Maine, where recent surveys show tight contests. Midterm dynamics under the current administration, voter turnout patterns, and any shifts in economic or national conditions could consolidate support around specific seat totals, while retirements and primary results add further uncertainty ahead of November.
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Republican Party in the US Senate as a result of the 2026 midterm elections.
This market will resolve based on the results of all Senate elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources.
If a Senate seat is vacant but a corresponding election is not held in November 2026, the seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democratic or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the Senate elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called all Senate elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$2,635,784Mercado abierto
Dec 18, 2025, 8:55 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 Senate map favors Republican defense of their current 53-seat majority, with 22 GOP-held seats up versus 13 Democratic ones, yet early polling and candidate developments keep the final Republican total widely dispersed across market outcomes near 49–51. Key differentiators include Democratic vulnerabilities in Georgia (Ossoff) and the open Michigan seat, alongside Republican holds in states like Texas, Iowa, and Maine, where recent surveys show tight contests. Midterm dynamics under the current administration, voter turnout patterns, and any shifts in economic or national conditions could consolidate support around specific seat totals, while retirements and primary results add further uncertainty ahead of November.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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