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Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

icon for Candidato presidencial republicano 2028
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Candidato presidencial republicano 2028

J.D. Vance 38.6%

Marco Rubio 20.8%

Tucker Carlson 6.0%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.6%

Polymarket

$595,403,464 Vol.

J.D. Vance 38.6%

Marco Rubio 20.8%

Tucker Carlson 6.0%

Donald Trump Jr. 2.6%

Polymarket

$595,403,464 Vol.

icon for J.D. Vance

J.D. Vance

$12,520,834 Vol.

39%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$8,379,112 Vol.

21%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$10,741,253 Vol.

6%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$7,546,097 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$12,966,487 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$7,612,416 Vol.

2%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$14,502,923 Vol.

2%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$3,528,679 Vol.

2%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$6,602,713 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$11,697,720 Vol.

1%

icon for Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.

$13,852,220 Vol.

1%

icon for Rand Paul

Rand Paul

$17,516,089 Vol.

1%

icon for Marjorie Taylor Greene

Marjorie Taylor Greene

$5,597,834 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$6,569,154 Vol.

1%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$16,029,318 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$27,112,953 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$8,433,466 Vol.

1%

icon for Elise Stefanik

Elise Stefanik

$24,221,887 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$6,487,741 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$18,555,564 Vol.

1%

icon for Brian Kemp

Brian Kemp

$15,908,806 Vol.

1%

icon for Josh Hawley

Josh Hawley

$18,373,583 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$26,535,750 Vol.

1%

icon for Matt Gaetz

Matt Gaetz

$17,694,265 Vol.

1%

icon for Sarah Huckabee Sanders

Sarah Huckabee Sanders

$30,168,332 Vol.

1%

icon for Katie Britt

Katie Britt

$27,015,631 Vol.

1%

icon for John Thune

John Thune

$32,262,651 Vol.

1%

icon for Tom Brady

Tom Brady

$29,800,469 Vol.

1%

icon for Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

Título del ítem del grupo: Steve Bannon

$19,933,079 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$5,619,978 Vol.

1%

icon for Byron Donalds

Byron Donalds

$39,708,221 Vol.

1%

icon for Erika Kirk

Erika Kirk

$15,100,182 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristi Noem

Kristi Noem

$32,329,167 Vol.

1%

icon for Joe Kent

Joe Kent

$5,092,794 Vol.

1%

icon for Mike Pence

Mike Pence

$39,514,524 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the clear frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, fueled by his HHS secretary role and surging Make America Healthy Again movement, which gained traction after March reports of his 49% odds spike amid health policy reforms appealing to the GOP base. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 38.6% on incumbency advantages and CPAC straw poll dominance (53% in late March), despite mixed reviews on recent Iran ceasefire talks and diplomatic trips. Marco Rubio's 20.8% reflects climbing odds as Secretary of State, bolstered by advances in April betting markets and youth polls, underscoring a competitive field ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$595,403,464
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Robert F. Kennedy Jr. as the clear frontrunner at 49% implied probability for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, fueled by his HHS secretary role and surging Make America Healthy Again movement, which gained traction after March reports of his 49% odds spike amid health policy reforms appealing to the GOP base. Vice President J.D. Vance holds 38.6% on incumbency advantages and CPAC straw poll dominance (53% in late March), despite mixed reviews on recent Iran ceasefire talks and diplomatic trips. Marco Rubio's 20.8% reflects climbing odds as Secretary of State, bolstered by advances in April betting markets and youth polls, underscoring a competitive field ahead of 2026 midterms that could reshape primaries.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources.

Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$595,403,464
Fecha de finalización
7 nov 2028
Mercado abierto
Jul 11, 2025, 3:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 35 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "J.D. Vance" con 39%, seguido de "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 39¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" ha generado $595.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jul 11, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028", explora los 35 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" es "J.D. Vance" con 39%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 39% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marco Rubio" con 21%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Candidato presidencial republicano 2028" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.