Recent polling for the Maranhão gubernatorial race shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading or tied with Orleans Brandão (MDB) in first-round scenarios, with Braide often at 39-50% and Brandão close behind at 23-39% depending on the survey and candidate field tested. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to run has positioned him as a change candidate leveraging his local record, while Brandão benefits from state government resources and MDB alignments amid a left-wing rift involving Carlos Brandão and Felipe Camarão (PT). Lower-polling names like Lahesio Bonfim and others fragment the field without yet consolidating. The implied probabilities reflect this competitive dynamic, where alliance shifts, further surveys, or formal party nominations before October could widen gaps or force a runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Maranhão
Eduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 35%
Lahesio Bonfim 10%
Felipe Camarão 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
45%
Orleans Brandão
35%
Lahesio Bonfim
10%
Felipe Camarão
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
7%
André Luís
4%
Eduardo Braide 45%
Orleans Brandão 35%
Lahesio Bonfim 10%
Felipe Camarão 9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eduardo Braide
$544 Vol.
45%
Orleans Brandão
$69 Vol.
35%
Lahesio Bonfim
$68 Vol.
10%
Felipe Camarão
$64 Vol.
9%
Enilton Rodrigues
$275 Vol.
7%
André Luís
$169 Vol.
4%
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Maranhão gubernatorial race shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading or tied with Orleans Brandão (MDB) in first-round scenarios, with Braide often at 39-50% and Brandão close behind at 23-39% depending on the survey and candidate field tested. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to run has positioned him as a change candidate leveraging his local record, while Brandão benefits from state government resources and MDB alignments amid a left-wing rift involving Carlos Brandão and Felipe Camarão (PT). Lower-polling names like Lahesio Bonfim and others fragment the field without yet consolidating. The implied probabilities reflect this competitive dynamic, where alliance shifts, further surveys, or formal party nominations before October could widen gaps or force a runoff.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ET
Volumen
$1,189Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling for the Maranhão gubernatorial race shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading or tied with Orleans Brandão (MDB) in first-round scenarios, with Braide often at 39-50% and Brandão close behind at 23-39% depending on the survey and candidate field tested. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to run has positioned him as a change candidate leveraging his local record, while Brandão benefits from state government resources and MDB alignments amid a left-wing rift involving Carlos Brandão and Felipe Camarão (PT). Lower-polling names like Lahesio Bonfim and others fragment the field without yet consolidating. The implied probabilities reflect this competitive dynamic, where alliance shifts, further surveys, or formal party nominations before October could widen gaps or force a runoff.
The Maranhão gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$1,189Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:38 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for the Maranhão gubernatorial race shows Eduardo Braide (PSD) leading or tied with Orleans Brandão (MDB) in first-round scenarios, with Braide often at 39-50% and Brandão close behind at 23-39% depending on the survey and candidate field tested. Braide’s resignation as São Luís mayor to run has positioned him as a change candidate leveraging his local record, while Brandão benefits from state government resources and MDB alignments amid a left-wing rift involving Carlos Brandão and Felipe Camarão (PT). Lower-polling names like Lahesio Bonfim and others fragment the field without yet consolidating. The implied probabilities reflect this competitive dynamic, where alliance shifts, further surveys, or formal party nominations before October could widen gaps or force a runoff.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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