Recent polling averages show Sweden’s center-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson, holding a clear lead of roughly 52–55 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election, while the incumbent right-wing Tidö coalition trails at 42–46 percent. Andersson’s party consistently registers the highest individual support at 32–34 percent, positioning her as the presumptive prime minister should her bloc secure a Riksdag majority and form the next government. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates and their Sweden Democrat partners remain competitive but have seen support erode amid voter concerns over crime, integration, and economic performance. Smaller-party leaders register minimal probabilities because their formations lack the scale to lead a governing coalition under current trends. Traders have priced the outcome primarily on these sustained bloc differentials and the structural convention that the largest party’s leader typically receives the Speaker’s nomination.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoPróximo Primer Ministro de Suecia
Magdalena Andersson 75%
Ulf Kristersson 24%
Jimmie Åkesson 1.7%
Ebba Busch <1%
$2,096,898 Vol.
$2,096,898 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
75%

Ulf Kristersson
24%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
Magdalena Andersson 75%
Ulf Kristersson 24%
Jimmie Åkesson 1.7%
Ebba Busch <1%
$2,096,898 Vol.
$2,096,898 Vol.

Magdalena Andersson
75%

Ulf Kristersson
24%

Jimmie Åkesson
2%

Ebba Busch
<1%

Anna-Karin Hatt
<1%

Nooshi Dadgostar
<1%

Amanda Lind
<1%

Simona Mohamsson
<1%

Daniel Helldén
<1%

Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show Sweden’s center-left opposition bloc, anchored by the Social Democrats under Magdalena Andersson, holding a clear lead of roughly 52–55 percent ahead of the September 13, 2026, general election, while the incumbent right-wing Tidö coalition trails at 42–46 percent. Andersson’s party consistently registers the highest individual support at 32–34 percent, positioning her as the presumptive prime minister should her bloc secure a Riksdag majority and form the next government. Incumbent Ulf Kristersson’s Moderates and their Sweden Democrat partners remain competitive but have seen support erode amid voter concerns over crime, integration, and economic performance. Smaller-party leaders register minimal probabilities because their formations lack the scale to lead a governing coalition under current trends. Traders have priced the outcome primarily on these sustained bloc differentials and the structural convention that the largest party’s leader typically receives the Speaker’s nomination.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes