Latest polls show CDU at 40%, narrowly leading but losing significant ground to AfD, Greens, and Linke, reflecting a highly competitive multi-party race and eroding confidence in

CDU rises to 40%1%

Latest polls show CDU at 40%, narrowly leading but losing significant ground to AfD, Greens, and Linke, reflecting a highly competitive multi-party race and eroding confidence in CDU leadership

Latest PolitPro poll shows Linke at 15.4% in Berlin, closely trailing CDU at 21.8%, indicating a competitive but uncertain outlook

Linke jumps to 23%11%

Improved polling data for Linke in Berlin led to a notable

CDU support plunges to 39% following revelations of a funding scandal involving CDU officials and the dismissal of State Secretary Oliver Friederici, intensifying voter distrust

CDU plunges to 39%17%

CDU support plunges to 39% following revelations of a funding scandal involving CDU officials and the dismissal of State Secretary Oliver Friederici, intensifying voter distrust

Reports highlight AfD's best-ever results in western German states and strong showing in recent state elections, boosting market optimism

AfD rises to 18%3%

Positive election results outside Berlin supported

AfD surges to 18% in Berlin polls following increased voter turnout and campaign efforts, signaling potential recovery

AfD jumps to 18%7%

AfD surges to 18% in Berlin polls following increased voter turnout and campaign efforts, signaling potential recovery

CDU support peaks at 56% briefly after crisis management efforts but remains fragile amid ongoing scandals

CDU jumps to 56%5%

CDU support peaks at 56% briefly after crisis management efforts but remains fragile amid ongoing scandals

CDU leader Kai Wegner approved as mayor after three voting rounds, confirming a CDU‑led government and further marginalising the SPD’s chances, keeping the

SPD dips to 8%1%

CDU leader Kai Wegner approved as mayor after three voting rounds, confirming a CDU‑led government and further marginalising the SPD’s chances, keeping the

Resignation of Berlin’s non-partisan Culture Senator Sarah Wedl-Wilson, affiliated with CDU, due to a funding scandal related to anti-Semitism programs, further damaging CDU’s

CDU drops to 51%5%

Resignation of Berlin’s non-partisan Culture Senator Sarah Wedl-Wilson, affiliated with CDU, due to a funding scandal related to anti-Semitism programs, further damaging CDU’s public image

Berlin polls show Greens close to Left Party and AfD, with CDU slightly ahead amid local scandals

Grüne jumps to 18%5%

Recent Berlin polls indicated a tight race among Greens, Left, and AfD, with CDU weakened by scandals, improving Greens' outlook in the capital.

BerlinTrend analysis notes Linke's momentum slowing after months of gains, with CDU regaining ground

Linke dips to 10%2%

Market reacted to reports of Linke's waning momentum and CDU's resurgence with a

BSW benennt sich um in Bündnis Soziale Gerechtigkeit und Wirtschaftliche Vernunft, Wagenknecht nicht mehr Namensgeberin

BSW dips to 0%1%

Die Umbenennung und strategische Neuausrichtung ohne Wagenknecht im Namen verstärkte die Wahrnehmung eines Bedeutungsverlusts der Partei.

RBB‑24 analysis of the BerlinTrend shows the CDU’s lead narrowing but the SPD stuck at only 14 % while Greens, Linke and AfD close in, confirming a “four‑way race” and reinforcing

SPD dips to 8%1%

RBB‑24 analysis of the BerlinTrend shows the CDU’s lead narrowing but the SPD stuck at only 14 % while Greens, Linke and AfD close in, confirming a “four‑way race” and reinforcing market doubts about an SPD victory

AfD support drops to 7% in Berlin polls amid intensified public and political resistance, including calls for bans on AfD members in public service

AfD drops to 7%6%

AfD support drops to 7% in Berlin polls amid intensified public and political resistance, including calls for bans on AfD members in public service

AfD peaks at 13% in Berlin polls but faces strong opposition from other parties refusing cooperation, limiting coalition prospects

AfD rises to 13%1%

AfD peaks at 13% in Berlin polls but faces strong opposition from other parties refusing cooperation, limiting coalition prospects

Civey poll confirms CDU at 23%, Linke at 16%, maintaining a competitive but challenging position for Linke

Linke rises to 16%3%

Slight improvement in polling for Linke led to a modest

Greens face tough competition in Rhineland-Palatinate state election, coalition prospects uncertain

Grüne dips to 11%1%

The Greens' position in Rhineland-Palatinate remained uncertain amid coalition talks, tempering enthusiasm after Baden-Württemberg's win.

Civey Berlin poll shows CDU leading with 23%, Linke at 16%, AfD and SPD close behind, indicating a fragmented race

Linke drops to 11%6%

The fragmented poll results and CDU's lead caused a sharp

Greens win Baden-Württemberg state election under Cem Özdemir, narrowly beating CDU

Grüne jumps to 12%8%

The Greens' surprise victory in Baden-Württemberg, led by Cem Özdemir, boosted optimism about their electoral appeal, causing a.

SPD and CDU announce the start of grand‑coalition talks in Berlin, signalling that the incumbent red‑black coalition may dissolve;

SPD drops to 8%6%

analysts interpret this as a sign SPD cannot win outright, pushing the

AfD gains in some eastern German states and polls show resurgence to around 15%, reflecting regional strength outside Berlin

AfD jumps to 15%5%

Renewed strength in eastern states temporarily boosted market

CDU briefly recovers to 59% following internal party efforts to stabilize leadership and public messaging

CDU jumps to 59%5%

CDU briefly recovers to 59% following internal party efforts to stabilize leadership and public messaging

BSW scheitert knapp an der Fünf-Prozent-Hürde bei der Bundestagswahl 2025, bleibt unter der Einzugsschwelle

BSW dips to 0%2%

Das knappe Verfehlen des Bundestagsmandats führte zu einem deutlichen Preisverfall auf 0%.

CDU support falls to 48% amid growing dissatisfaction with the CDU-SPD coalition in Berlin, with only 17% of Berliners satisfied with the government’s performance

CDU drops to 48%6%

CDU support falls to 48% amid growing dissatisfaction with the CDU-SPD coalition in Berlin, with only 17% of Berliners satisfied with the government’s performance

INSA poll shows Linke rising to 10% nationally, with CDU/CSU and AfD close behind, reflecting increased support for Linke

Linke jumps to 36%14%

This poll surge reflected growing momentum for Linke, driving a significant

Sahra Wagenknecht besucht Wahlkampfveranstaltung in Wuppertal kurz vor der Bundestagswahl am 23. Februar 2025

BSW rises to 2%1%

Der Wahlkampfauftritt sorgte für einen kurzfristigen leichten Anstieg der Marktchancen.

Linke's Spitzenkandidatin Elif Eralp publicly challenges CDU's Kai Wegner, positioning Linke as a serious contender for Berlin's mayoralty

Linke jumps to 28%11%

Eralp's strong campaign launch and criticism of the incumbent boosted Linke's perceived chances, causing a

INSA poll for Berlin shows CDU at 21 % and SPD only 17 % – a sharp drop from earlier expectations, triggering the market’s first big fall from 50 % to the low‑teens

SPD plunges to 12%38%

INSA poll for Berlin shows CDU at 21 % and SPD only 17 % – a sharp drop from earlier expectations, triggering the market’s first big fall from 50 % to the low‑teens

Poll shows Chancellor Merz's CDU coalition losing voter confidence, Greens at 12% support

Grüne jumps to 14%9%

A poll revealed declining trust in Chancellor Merz's coalition but Greens remained at a modest 12%, indicating some stabilization and a brief market rebound.

BerlinTrend poll shows CDU narrowly leading with 22%, Linke at 18%, signaling a competitive but challenging environment for Linke

Linke drops to 17%8%

This poll indicated a tightening race with CDU ahead, causing a dip in Linke's market

Sharp drop in CDU support to 51% after public criticism of Berlin CDU leader Kai Wegner’s handling of city issues, including a controversial public appearance during a major

CDU drops to 51%12%

Sharp drop in CDU support to 51% after public criticism of Berlin CDU leader Kai Wegner’s handling of city issues, including a controversial public appearance during a major Berlin power outage

Berlin local polls show AfD at around 16.6%, behind CDU but competitive with SPD and Greens, indicating moderate regional support

AfD plunges to 7%19%

Lower regional support in Berlin compared to national polls caused a sharp

Poll shows CDU/CSU support peaks at 63% in Berlin, reflecting temporary optimism for CDU prospects in the upcoming election

CDU rises to 63%3%

Poll shows CDU/CSU support peaks at 63% in Berlin, reflecting temporary optimism for CDU prospects in the upcoming election

Analysis predicts Greens will fall behind CDU and AfD in upcoming 2026 state elections

An opinion piece forecasted the Greens losing ground to both CDU and far-right AfD in 2026 state elections, including Berlin, reflecting growing skepticism about their electoral strength.

INSA poll shows AfD support at 26%, with CDU/CSU close behind at 25%, reflecting a competitive but stable position

AfD rises to 26%1%

AfD's stable polling near the top maintained market confidence.

Bündnis Sahra Wagenknecht fordert Neuauszählung der Bundestagswahl wegen vermuteter Zählfehler und Verwechslungen mit ähnlich benannten Parteien; BSW sieht sich durch Medienkampagnen benachteiligt und kämpft um Einzug in den Bundestag

BSW plunges to 1%49%

Diese Nachricht erklärt den starken Preisverfall Anfang Dezember 2025, da Zweifel an der Wahlerfolgsicherheit aufkamen.

AfD surges ahead of CDU in nationwide poll, marking record lead for AfD over CDU/CSU, signaling rising right-wing opposition strength and weakening CDU position nationally

CDU jumps to 58%8%

AfD surges ahead of CDU in nationwide poll, marking record lead for AfD over CDU/CSU, signaling rising right-wing opposition strength and weakening CDU position nationally

Greens suffer losses in 2025 German federal election, dropping to 12% support nationally

Grüne plunges to 1%49%

The Greens declined from 15% to 12% in the 2025 federal election, their second-worst result, signaling weakened national momentum and reducing market confidence in their Berlin prospects.

Bundestag election review committee rejects BSW's recount request, stabilizing Linke's position as the only left-wing party entering parliament

Linke dips to 28%2%

The rejection of BSW's recount request confirmed Linke's parliamentary presence, slightly stabilizing market confidence.

Infratest dimap poll reports AfD at 25%, trailing CDU/CSU at 27%, indicating slight decline from earlier lead

AfD dips to 25%2%

The slight drop in AfD support relative to CDU/CSU contributed to a moderate

INSA poll shows AfD leading nationally with 27%, ahead of CDU/CSU at 24.5%, signaling strong momentum after the 2025 federal election

AfD plunges to 27%23%

This poll confirmed AfD's peak national support post-election, initially supporting a high market

INSA poll shows AfD leading nationally with 27%, Linke at 10.5%, indicating Linke's moderate position in federal polls after the 2025 federal election

Linke plunges to 30%20%

This poll reflected a national environment where Linke was polling modestly, contributing to the initial drop from 50% to 30% in early December.

Sahra Wagenknecht gibt den Vorsitz des BSW ab; Amira Mohamed Ali und Fabio De Masi bilden Doppelspitze

BSW dips to 0%1%

Die Ankündigung des Führungswechsels und Wagenknechts Rückzug aus der Parteispitze führte zu Unsicherheit über die Zukunft der Partei und einem weiteren Preisrückgang.