Cícero Lucena leads trader pricing at 39.5% in the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race, ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo at 19.6% and Efraim Filho at 7.0%, reflecting his strong base as incumbent João Pessoa mayor and recent resignation to enter the contest. Multiple viable contenders, including current governor Lucas Ribeiro, create a fragmented field where party alliances, regional support, and early polling swings keep implied probabilities closely matched. Recent developments such as PT backing for Ribeiro and MDB internal positioning sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with no single candidate yet consolidating broad coalitions that could shift the race decisively.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de la elección de gobernador de Paraíba
Ganador de la elección de gobernador de Paraíba
Cícero Lucena 40%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 19.6%
Efraim Filho 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 4.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Cícero Lucena
40%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
20%
Efraim Filho
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
4%
Marcelo Queiroga
4%
Romero Rodrigues
3%
Flávio Lúcio
2%
Cícero Lucena 40%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo 19.6%
Efraim Filho 7%
Nilvan Ferreira 4.3%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Cícero Lucena
$2,374 Vol.
40%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$157 Vol.
20%
Efraim Filho
$81 Vol.
7%
Nilvan Ferreira
$81 Vol.
4%
Marcelo Queiroga
$101 Vol.
4%
Romero Rodrigues
$210 Vol.
3%
Flávio Lúcio
$168 Vol.
2%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cícero Lucena leads trader pricing at 39.5% in the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race, ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo at 19.6% and Efraim Filho at 7.0%, reflecting his strong base as incumbent João Pessoa mayor and recent resignation to enter the contest. Multiple viable contenders, including current governor Lucas Ribeiro, create a fragmented field where party alliances, regional support, and early polling swings keep implied probabilities closely matched. Recent developments such as PT backing for Ribeiro and MDB internal positioning sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with no single candidate yet consolidating broad coalitions that could shift the race decisively.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volumen
$3,172Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Cícero Lucena leads trader pricing at 39.5% in the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race, ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo at 19.6% and Efraim Filho at 7.0%, reflecting his strong base as incumbent João Pessoa mayor and recent resignation to enter the contest. Multiple viable contenders, including current governor Lucas Ribeiro, create a fragmented field where party alliances, regional support, and early polling swings keep implied probabilities closely matched. Recent developments such as PT backing for Ribeiro and MDB internal positioning sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with no single candidate yet consolidating broad coalitions that could shift the race decisively.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,172Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Cícero Lucena leads trader pricing at 39.5% in the 2026 Paraíba gubernatorial race, ahead of Veneziano Vital do Rêgo at 19.6% and Efraim Filho at 7.0%, reflecting his strong base as incumbent João Pessoa mayor and recent resignation to enter the contest. Multiple viable contenders, including current governor Lucas Ribeiro, create a fragmented field where party alliances, regional support, and early polling swings keep implied probabilities closely matched. Recent developments such as PT backing for Ribeiro and MDB internal positioning sustain uncertainty ahead of the October 4 vote, with no single candidate yet consolidating broad coalitions that could shift the race decisively.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes