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Elecciones·Etiopía

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Elecciones·Etiopía

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 86.1%

Shimelis Abdisa 5.0%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket

$6,942,078 Vol.

Abiy Ahmed 86.1%

Shimelis Abdisa 5.0%

Berhanu Nega <1%

Demeke Mekonnen <1%

Polymarket

$6,942,078 Vol.

icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$9,386 Vol.

86%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$150,518 Vol.

12%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$6,531,680 Vol.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$82,834 Vol.

1%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$167,003 Vol.

<1%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$3,507 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$3,586 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$6,471 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s commanding position in Ethiopia’s June 2026 parliamentary election underpins his 86 percent market share. His Prosperity Party secured a decisive victory despite suspended voting in parts of Amhara and the exclusion of Tigray, allowing the House of People’s Representatives to reselect him as prime minister. Opposition fragmentation and regional insecurity have further consolidated support for the incumbent. Shimelis Abdisa’s 12 percent reflects limited speculation about a potential successor role within the ruling party or regional structures if Abiy’s mandate shifts, while the remaining candidates trail at under 1 percent each due to negligible national visibility or institutional backing. Vote counting and final parliamentary confirmation remain the key near-term variables.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,942,078
Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Abiy Ahmed’s commanding position in Ethiopia’s June 2026 parliamentary election underpins his 86 percent market share. His Prosperity Party secured a decisive victory despite suspended voting in parts of Amhara and the exclusion of Tigray, allowing the House of People’s Representatives to reselect him as prime minister. Opposition fragmentation and regional insecurity have further consolidated support for the incumbent. Shimelis Abdisa’s 12 percent reflects limited speculation about a potential successor role within the ruling party or regional structures if Abiy’s mandate shifts, while the remaining candidates trail at under 1 percent each due to negligible national visibility or institutional backing. Vote counting and final parliamentary confirmation remain the key near-term variables.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,942,078
Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Abiy Ahmed" con 86%, seguido de "Shimelis Abdisa" con 12%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 86¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" ha generado $6.9 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Apr 27, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es "Abiy Ahmed" con 86%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 86% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Shimelis Abdisa" con 12%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.