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Elecciones·Etiopía

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

icon for Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?
Elecciones·Etiopía

Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?

Abiy Ahmed 91%

Alesa Mengesha 4.6%

Shimelis Abdisa 4.6%

Berhanu Nega 4.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Abiy Ahmed 91%

Alesa Mengesha 4.6%

Shimelis Abdisa 4.6%

Berhanu Nega 4.6%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Abiy Ahmed

Abiy Ahmed

$1,841 Vol.

91%

icon for Alesa Mengesha

Alesa Mengesha

$628 Vol.

5%

icon for Shimelis Abdisa

Shimelis Abdisa

$628 Vol.

5%

icon for Berhanu Nega

Berhanu Nega

$628 Vol.

5%

icon for Gedion Timothewos

Gedion Timothewos

$628 Vol.

5%

icon for Belete Molla

Belete Molla

$127 Vol.

2%

icon for Adanech Abiebie

Adanech Abiebie

$647 Vol.

1%

icon for Demeke Mekonnen

Demeke Mekonnen

$987 Vol.

<1%

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's commanding 91.5% trader consensus reflects his unchallenged leadership of the Prosperity Party, which dominates the House of Peoples' Representatives and positions him to secure re-election following the June 1, 2026 general election. Recent diplomatic engagements, including hosting the EU Commissioner on April 21 and his appointment as African Union Champion for Artificial Intelligence around April 23, signal policy continuity and international backing amid National Election Board preparations. Persistent insecurity in Amhara and Oromia regions, including Fano rebel activity, tempers optimism but has not shifted odds significantly. Realistic challenges include escalated violence disrupting polls, opposition gains by figures like Berhanu Nega, or post-election disputes over regional state results.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,114
Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Incumbent Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed's commanding 91.5% trader consensus reflects his unchallenged leadership of the Prosperity Party, which dominates the House of Peoples' Representatives and positions him to secure re-election following the June 1, 2026 general election. Recent diplomatic engagements, including hosting the EU Commissioner on April 21 and his appointment as African Union Champion for Artificial Intelligence around April 23, signal policy continuity and international backing amid National Election Board preparations. Persistent insecurity in Amhara and Oromia regions, including Fano rebel activity, tempers optimism but has not shifted odds significantly. Realistic challenges include escalated violence disrupting polls, opposition gains by figures like Berhanu Nega, or post-election disputes over regional state results.

General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$6,114
Fecha de finalización
1 jun 2026
Mercado abierto
Apr 27, 2026, 5:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
General elections are scheduled to be held in Ethiopia on June 1, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Ethiopia following the 2026 General elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Ethiopia. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Ethiopia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Abiy Ahmed" con 91%, seguido de "Alesa Mengesha" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 91¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Apr 27, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" es "Abiy Ahmed" con 91%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 91% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alesa Mengesha" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Next Prime Minister of Ethiopia?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.