Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65% implied probability to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (33%), following her first-place finish with 17% in the fragmented April 12 first-round vote amid delayed counts and fraud allegations. Sánchez advanced to second (12%) after rural support propelled him past far-right rival Rafael López Aliaga, setting up a right-left contest reminiscent of past polarized races. A Reuters poll on April 26 showed the pair deadlocked, yet traders favor Fujimori's name recognition from three prior near-misses, stronger urban backing, and anti-left sentiment post-Castillo ouster. Congressional fragmentation and potential endorsements loom as key runoff swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Ganador de las elecciones presidenciales de Perú
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.9%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.4%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,777,343 Vol.
$48,777,343 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
33%

Rafael López Aliaga
2%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
Keiko Fujimori 65%
Roberto Sánchez Palomino 32.9%
Rafael López Aliaga 2.4%
Jorge Nieto <1%
$48,777,343 Vol.
$48,777,343 Vol.

Keiko Fujimori
65%

Roberto Sánchez Palomino
33%

Rafael López Aliaga
2%

Jorge Nieto
<1%

Carlos Álvarez
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

Vladimir Cerrón
<1%

Roberto Chiabra
<1%

Enrique Valderrama
<1%

Mesías Guevara
<1%

Mario Vizcarra
<1%

José Luna
<1%

José Williams
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

Fernando Olivera
<1%

Yonhy Lescano
<1%

Alfonso López Chau
<1%

George Forsyth
<1%

Ricardo Belmont
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa
<1%

Marisol Pérez Tello
<1%

Wolfgang Grozo
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 2:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Peruvian Presidential election.
This market includes any potential second round.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Keiko Fujimori leads Polymarket trader consensus at 65% implied probability to win Peru's June 7 presidential runoff against Roberto Sánchez Palomino (33%), following her first-place finish with 17% in the fragmented April 12 first-round vote amid delayed counts and fraud allegations. Sánchez advanced to second (12%) after rural support propelled him past far-right rival Rafael López Aliaga, setting up a right-left contest reminiscent of past polarized races. A Reuters poll on April 26 showed the pair deadlocked, yet traders favor Fujimori's name recognition from three prior near-misses, stronger urban backing, and anti-left sentiment post-Castillo ouster. Congressional fragmentation and potential endorsements loom as key runoff swing factors.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes