The razor-thin statistical tie in Peru's June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has kept trader focus on sub-1% victory margins, as preliminary tallies show the candidates separated by fractions of a point with over 94% of votes counted. Polarization along urban-rural lines, voter priorities on crime and economic instability, and late rural ballots shifting the lead have sustained the deadlock, echoing Peru's recent runoff patterns. Ongoing official counting by ONPE and potential recounts could widen or confirm the margin, while any delays in certification maintain uncertainty around the final outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSegunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)
Segunda vuelta de las elecciones en Perú: ¿Margen de victoria? (0,1%)
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 40%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7% 37%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9% 28%
Fujimori 1%+ 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Fujimori 1%+
18%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0%
18%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9%
28%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8%
17%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7%
37%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6%
17%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5%
16%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
40%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
9%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2%
10%
Fujimori 0–0,1%
9%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
14%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2%
11%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3%
11%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4%
10%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5%
8%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6%
7%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7%
4%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
3%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
4%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0%
4%
Sánchez 1%+
3%
Otro
5%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4% 40%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7% 37%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9% 28%
Fujimori 1%+ 18%
NUEVO
NUEVO
Fujimori 1%+
$0 Vol.
18%
Fujimori 0,9–1,0%
$0 Vol.
18%
Fujimori 0,8–0,9%
$0 Vol.
28%
Fujimori 0,7–0,8%
$0 Vol.
17%
Fujimori 0,6–0,7%
$0 Vol.
37%
Fujimori 0,5–0,6%
$0 Vol.
17%
Fujimori 0,4–0,5%
$0 Vol.
16%
Fujimori 0.3–0.4%
$0 Vol.
40%
Fujimori 0.2–0.3%
$50 Vol.
9%
Fujimori 0,1–0,2%
$50 Vol.
10%
Fujimori 0–0,1%
$50 Vol.
9%
Sánchez 0–0.1%
$150 Vol.
14%
Sánchez 0,1–0,2%
$250 Vol.
11%
Sánchez 0,2–0,3%
$200 Vol.
11%
Sánchez 0,3–0,4%
$250 Vol.
10%
Sánchez 0,4–0,5%
$250 Vol.
8%
Sánchez 0,5–0,6%
$205 Vol.
7%
Sánchez 0,6–0,7%
$500 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 0.7–0.8%
$600 Vol.
3%
Sánchez 0.8–0.9%
$500 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 0,9–1,0%
$650 Vol.
4%
Sánchez 1%+
$700 Vol.
3%
Otro
$583 Vol.
5%
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin statistical tie in Peru's June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has kept trader focus on sub-1% victory margins, as preliminary tallies show the candidates separated by fractions of a point with over 94% of votes counted. Polarization along urban-rural lines, voter priorities on crime and economic instability, and late rural ballots shifting the lead have sustained the deadlock, echoing Peru's recent runoff patterns. Ongoing official counting by ONPE and potential recounts could widen or confirm the margin, while any delays in certification maintain uncertainty around the final outcome.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Mercado abierto: Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ET
Volumen
$4,623Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.The razor-thin statistical tie in Peru's June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has kept trader focus on sub-1% victory margins, as preliminary tallies show the candidates separated by fractions of a point with over 94% of votes counted. Polarization along urban-rural lines, voter priorities on crime and economic instability, and late rural ballots shifting the lead have sustained the deadlock, echoing Peru's recent runoff patterns. Ongoing official counting by ONPE and potential recounts could widen or confirm the margin, while any delays in certification maintain uncertainty around the final outcome.
The second round of the Peru presidential election is scheduled to be held on June 7, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the second round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential elections.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volumen
$4,623Mercado abierto
Jun 8, 2026, 10:19 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The razor-thin statistical tie in Peru's June 7 presidential runoff between conservative Keiko Fujimori and leftist Roberto Sánchez has kept trader focus on sub-1% victory margins, as preliminary tallies show the candidates separated by fractions of a point with over 94% of votes counted. Polarization along urban-rural lines, voter priorities on crime and economic instability, and late rural ballots shifting the lead have sustained the deadlock, echoing Peru's recent runoff patterns. Ongoing official counting by ONPE and potential recounts could widen or confirm the margin, while any delays in certification maintain uncertainty around the final outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes