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Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

icon for ¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?
Política·Oriente Medio

¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?

Gadi Eizenkot 36.9%

Benjamin Netanyahu 30%

Naftali Bennett 23%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.6%

Polymarket

$16,011,526 Vol.

Gadi Eizenkot 36.9%

Benjamin Netanyahu 30%

Naftali Bennett 23%

Avigdor Lieberman 3.6%

Polymarket

$16,011,526 Vol.

Gadi Eizenkot

$986,215 Vol.

37%

Benjamin Netanyahu

$1,426,396 Vol.

30%

Naftali Bennett

$1,584,567 Vol.

23%

Avigdor Lieberman

$1,093,979 Vol.

4%

Itamar Ben Gvir

$1,015,437 Vol.

1%

Gilad Erdan

$54,424 Vol.

1%

Yariv Levin

$634,410 Vol.

1%

Yossi Cohen

$1,012,379 Vol.

1%

Gideon Sa’ar

$1,153,599 Vol.

<1%

Yair Lapid

$813,648 Vol.

<1%

Benny Gantz

$527,046 Vol.

<1%

Israel Katz

$394,812 Vol.

<1%

Amir Ohana

$971,524 Vol.

<1%

Yair Golan

$980,384 Vol.

<1%

Nir Barkat

$588,823 Vol.

<1%

Ayelet Shaked

$974,744 Vol.

<1%

Moshe Feiglin

$700,429 Vol.

<1%

Yoaz Hendel

$1,100,771 Vol.

<1%

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and alliance shifts have positioned Gadi Eizenkot as the narrow frontrunner in trader assessments for Israel's next prime minister, reflecting his rising profile as leader of the centrist Yashar party amid a fragmented opposition. The April 2026 formation of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid consolidated some anti-Netanyahu support but has since faced competition from Eizenkot's independent slate, with surveys showing the two opposition blocs trading places just behind Likud. Benjamin Netanyahu's incumbent position benefits from his party's consistent seat projections, yet coalition fatigue and bloc arithmetic limit his path to a majority. The race remains tight because no single contender commands a clear parliamentary path, and small swings in centrist or religious Zionist turnout could alter post-election negotiations. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and final candidate lists before the October deadline may further realign probabilities.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,011,526
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent polling and alliance shifts have positioned Gadi Eizenkot as the narrow frontrunner in trader assessments for Israel's next prime minister, reflecting his rising profile as leader of the centrist Yashar party amid a fragmented opposition. The April 2026 formation of Naftali Bennett's Together alliance with Yair Lapid consolidated some anti-Netanyahu support but has since faced competition from Eizenkot's independent slate, with surveys showing the two opposition blocs trading places just behind Likud. Benjamin Netanyahu's incumbent position benefits from his party's consistent seat projections, yet coalition fatigue and bloc arithmetic limit his path to a majority. The race remains tight because no single contender commands a clear parliamentary path, and small swings in centrist or religious Zionist turnout could alter post-election negotiations. Upcoming Knesset dissolution votes and final candidate lists before the October deadline may further realign probabilities.

Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$16,011,526
Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 14, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Legislative elections are schedule to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and sworn in as Prime Minister of Israel following the 2026 parliamentary election. If an election is called early, this market will immediately resolve to the individual who is officially appointed and sworn in after that election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is sworn in by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Israel; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 18 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 37%, seguido de "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" ha generado $16 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 15, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?", explora los 18 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" es "Gadi Eizenkot" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Benjamin Netanyahu" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Quién será el próximo Primer Ministro de Israel después de las próximas elecciones?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.