United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive regional structures, and consistent polling dominance above 40 percent. New People’s elevated 30 percent implied probability stems from recent surveys placing it ahead of other systemic opposition parties in national ratings, alongside targeted campaign efforts to expand its faction through media visibility and administrative support. LDPR and KPRF trail in the market as polls show them competing for second place but with more established yet stagnant regional bases, while smaller parties face steep barriers to crossing electoral thresholds. Preparations including party list renewals and headquarters formations have reinforced expectations of United Russia retaining its constitutional majority without major disruptions in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Rusia Unida (ER) 58%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.4%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 6.0%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.1%
$11,229,610 Vol.
$11,229,610 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
58%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
30%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
6%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
3%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
1%
Rodina
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
<1%
Rusia Unida (ER) 58%
Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.4%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 6.0%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.1%
$11,229,610 Vol.
$11,229,610 Vol.
30 sep 2026
Rusia Unida (ER)
$3,990,930 Vol.
58%
Nuevas Personas (NL)
$1,317,753 Vol.
30%
Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)
$2,393,016 Vol.
6%
Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)
$759,774 Vol.
3%
Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)
$675,370 Vol.
1%
Rodina
$1,311,414 Vol.
<1%
Plataforma Cívica (GP)
$782,973 Vol.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive regional structures, and consistent polling dominance above 40 percent. New People’s elevated 30 percent implied probability stems from recent surveys placing it ahead of other systemic opposition parties in national ratings, alongside targeted campaign efforts to expand its faction through media visibility and administrative support. LDPR and KPRF trail in the market as polls show them competing for second place but with more established yet stagnant regional bases, while smaller parties face steep barriers to crossing electoral thresholds. Preparations including party list renewals and headquarters formations have reinforced expectations of United Russia retaining its constitutional majority without major disruptions in the near term.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Mercado abierto: Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET
Volumen
$11,229,610Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive regional structures, and consistent polling dominance above 40 percent. New People’s elevated 30 percent implied probability stems from recent surveys placing it ahead of other systemic opposition parties in national ratings, alongside targeted campaign efforts to expand its faction through media visibility and administrative support. LDPR and KPRF trail in the market as polls show them competing for second place but with more established yet stagnant regional bases, while smaller parties face steep barriers to crossing electoral thresholds. Preparations including party list renewals and headquarters formations have reinforced expectations of United Russia retaining its constitutional majority without major disruptions in the near term.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$11,229,610Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...United Russia maintains a commanding lead in trader consensus for securing the largest share of seats in the September 2026 State Duma election due to its entrenched position as the ruling party, extensive regional structures, and consistent polling dominance above 40 percent. New People’s elevated 30 percent implied probability stems from recent surveys placing it ahead of other systemic opposition parties in national ratings, alongside targeted campaign efforts to expand its faction through media visibility and administrative support. LDPR and KPRF trail in the market as polls show them competing for second place but with more established yet stagnant regional bases, while smaller parties face steep barriers to crossing electoral thresholds. Preparations including party list renewals and headquarters formations have reinforced expectations of United Russia retaining its constitutional majority without major disruptions in the near term.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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