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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?

icon for ¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?

Rusia Unida (ER) 62%

Nuevas Personas (NL) 31.3%

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.3%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%

Polymarket

$6,713,393 Vol.

Rusia Unida (ER) 62%

Nuevas Personas (NL) 31.3%

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 5.3%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) <1%

Polymarket

$6,713,393 Vol.

icon for Rusia Unida (ER)

Rusia Unida (ER)

$1,857,970 Vol.

62%

icon for Nuevas Personas (NL)

Nuevas Personas (NL)

$641,007 Vol.

31%

icon for Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)

$2,201,974 Vol.

5%

icon for Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)

$515,200 Vol.

1%

icon for Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)

$468,998 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$580,636 Vol.

<1%

icon for Plataforma Cívica (GP)

Plataforma Cívica (GP)

$478,557 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia at 61.5% to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its historical dominance in the 225 single-mandate districts—bolstered by administrative resources, regional governors, and public-sector mobilization—despite proportional list polls showing its support declining to 28-53% in recent VCIOM and FOM surveys from mid-April. New People's 31.4% implied probability reflects its rapid ascent to second place at 8-17% in those polls, marking an all-time high amid United Russia's six-week slide linked to economic pressures like inflation. Other parties trail far behind, with LDPR and KPRF around 11-13%. United Russia's primaries, set for late May with 10%+ turnout targets via coerced public-sector engagement, will test its organizational edge ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$6,713,393
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices United Russia at 61.5% to secure the most seats in the September 2026 State Duma elections, driven by its historical dominance in the 225 single-mandate districts—bolstered by administrative resources, regional governors, and public-sector mobilization—despite proportional list polls showing its support declining to 28-53% in recent VCIOM and FOM surveys from mid-April. New People's 31.4% implied probability reflects its rapid ascent to second place at 8-17% in those polls, marking an all-time high amid United Russia's six-week slide linked to economic pressures like inflation. Other parties trail far behind, with LDPR and KPRF around 11-13%. United Russia's primaries, set for late May with 10%+ turnout targets via coerced public-sector engagement, will test its organizational edge ahead of the vote.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$6,713,393
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rusia Unida (ER)" con 62%, seguido de "Nuevas Personas (NL)" con 31%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 62¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" ha generado $6.7 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" es "Rusia Unida (ER)" con 62%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 62% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nuevas Personas (NL)" con 31%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.