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Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?

icon for ¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?
Elecciones·Elecciones Mundiales

¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?

Rusia Unida (ER) 60%

Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.2%

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 6.0%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$11,194,846 Vol.

Rusia Unida (ER) 60%

Nuevas Personas (NL) 30.2%

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR) 6.0%

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF) 3.0%

Polymarket

$11,194,846 Vol.

icon for Rusia Unida (ER)

Rusia Unida (ER)

$3,965,990 Vol.

60%

icon for Nuevas Personas (NL)

Nuevas Personas (NL)

$1,317,211 Vol.

30%

icon for Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)

Partido Liberal Democrático de Rusia (LDPR)

$2,392,947 Vol.

6%

icon for Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)

Partido Comunista de la Federación Rusa (KPRF)

$759,774 Vol.

3%

icon for Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)

Rusia Justa – Por la Verdad (SRZP)

$675,370 Vol.

1%

icon for Rodina

Rodina

$1,309,655 Vol.

<1%

icon for Plataforma Cívica (GP)

Plataforma Cívica (GP)

$777,818 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its position as the frontrunner in trader assessments due to its status as the ruling party, historical dominance with over 320 seats after 2021, and ongoing Kremlin-backed preparations that include leadership restructuring, inclusion of military veterans on candidate lists led by Dmitry Medvedev, and administrative measures to support a constitutional majority in the September 2026 State Duma vote. New People’s elevated market share reflects its stronger showing in certain recent state-backed polls around 13 percent, positioning it as the main beneficiary among systemic opposition parties amid managed competition and limited genuine alternatives. The lower probabilities assigned to LDPR, KPRF, SRZP, and smaller parties align with their stable but constrained roles in the current electoral framework, where the mixed system and registration rules favor established parliamentary forces without significant recent shifts in their positioning.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$11,194,846
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.United Russia maintains its position as the frontrunner in trader assessments due to its status as the ruling party, historical dominance with over 320 seats after 2021, and ongoing Kremlin-backed preparations that include leadership restructuring, inclusion of military veterans on candidate lists led by Dmitry Medvedev, and administrative measures to support a constitutional majority in the September 2026 State Duma vote. New People’s elevated market share reflects its stronger showing in certain recent state-backed polls around 13 percent, positioning it as the main beneficiary among systemic opposition parties amid managed competition and limited genuine alternatives. The lower probabilities assigned to LDPR, KPRF, SRZP, and smaller parties align with their stable but constrained roles in the current electoral framework, where the mixed system and registration rules favor established parliamentary forces without significant recent shifts in their positioning.

Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.

This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election.

If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Volumen
$11,194,846
Fecha de finalización
20 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Jan 7, 2026, 4:27 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that gains the greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election, compared to before the election. If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats gained, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats gained by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Rusia Unida (ER)" con 60%, seguido de "Nuevas Personas (NL)" con 30%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 60¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" ha generado $11.2 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Jan 7, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" es "Rusia Unida (ER)" con 60%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 60% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Nuevas Personas (NL)" con 30%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "¿Qué partido ganará más escaños en las elecciones parlamentarias rusas?" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.