Newsom rejects suspending California’s gas tax amid ongoing high fuel

Gavin Newsom rises to 18%2%

Newsom rejects suspending California’s gas tax amid ongoing high fuel

Kamala Harris publicly signals she is "thinking about" running for president again at the National Action Network convention, receiving strong support and standing ovations

Kamala Harris rises to 5%2%

This explicit and widely reported hint at a 2028 bid marked a significant positive market reaction, reflecting renewed investor confidence in her candidacy.

The Christian Science Monitor discussed Ocasio-Cortez's quiet but strategic positioning for a White House bid amid a turbulent political environment, reinforcing her status as a

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 6%1%

The Christian Science Monitor discussed Ocasio-Cortez's quiet but strategic positioning for a White House bid amid a turbulent political environment, reinforcing her status as a serious contender

Announcement of JD Vance’s upcoming book "Communion," focusing on his spiritual journey, intensifies speculation about his 2028 run by providing a personal narrative to appeal to

JD Vance rises to 19%1%

Announcement of JD Vance’s upcoming book "Communion," focusing on his spiritual journey, intensifies speculation about his 2028 run by providing a personal narrative to appeal to evangelical voters

Rubio’s role in Iran war and Trump’s informal polling of GOP donors boost his 2028 odds sharply

Marco Rubio jumps to 14%6%

Rubio’s prominent role in the Iran conflict and Trump’s polling of GOP donors at Mar-a-Lago, who overwhelmingly supported Rubio, caused a significant.

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene floated that Tucker Carlson should run for president in 2028 while defending him against Trump’s “lost his way” comment

Tucker Carlson rises to 2%1%

Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene floated that Tucker Carlson should run for president in 2028 while defending him against Trump’s “lost his way” comment

Rubio’s strong foreign policy role and Munich speech boost his 2028 prospects

Marco Rubio rises to 10%2%

Rubio’s successful speech in Munich and his handling of U.S.-Israeli air strikes on Iran elevated his stature as a serious 2028 contender, especially among GOP donors and Trump allies.

Gavin Newsom releases a memoir signaling his presidential ambitions and engages with right-wing influencers, increasing his national visibility and sparking market interest

Gavin Newsom rises to 19%2%

Gavin Newsom releases a memoir signaling his presidential ambitions and engages with right-wing influencers, increasing his national visibility and sparking market interest

The Guardian profiles JD Vance as a stealth 2028 candidate and notes his appointment as finance chair of the Republican National Committee, enhancing his fundraising capabilities

JD Vance dips to 28%3%

The Guardian profiles JD Vance as a stealth 2028 candidate and notes his appointment as finance chair of the Republican National Committee, enhancing his fundraising capabilities and influence within the GOP

Rubio gains prominence after Trump hands him key role in Venezuela policy

Following Trump's delegation of Venezuela transition oversight to Rubio, his foreign policy profile rose, increasing speculation about a 2028 run despite his earlier hesitations.

Governor Newsom issues an executive order expanding protections for wildfire survivors and support for affected businesses, demonstrating leadership amid crises

Gavin Newsom rises to 19%1%

Governor Newsom issues an executive order expanding protections for wildfire survivors and support for affected businesses, demonstrating leadership amid crises

Axios reports JD Vance’s strategic campaign efforts for 2028, including nationwide midterm campaigning and close ties with President Trump, highlighting his preparation for a

JD Vance rises to 31%1%

Axios reports JD Vance’s strategic campaign efforts for 2028, including nationwide midterm campaigning and close ties with President Trump, highlighting his preparation for a presidential run

Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk publicly endorses JD Vance for the 2028 presidency, signaling strong grassroots conservative support and energizing his base ahead of the midterms

JD Vance rises to 31%3%

Turning Point USA CEO Erika Kirk publicly endorses JD Vance for the 2028 presidency, signaling strong grassroots conservative support and energizing his base ahead of the midterms

Reports emerge that Harris is actively laying groundwork for a 2028 White House run, including meeting donors and promoting her memoir "107 Days"

Kamala Harris rises to 4%1%

Media coverage of her political activity and campaign preparations contributed to a modest

A poll by The Hill showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among young voters for the 2028 presidential race, boosting her perceived electability and market confidence

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 8%1%

A poll by The Hill showed Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez leading among young voters for the 2028 presidential race, boosting her perceived electability and market confidence

Ted Cruz publicly attacked Tucker Carlson over his opposition to the U.S.

Tucker Carlson plunges to 1%49%

missile strike on Iran, calling Carlson “bat‑crap crazy” on foreign policy

Axios revealed Ocasio-Cortez's effective ad campaign supporting California's Prop 50, demonstrating her growing influence and potential to challenge established Democrats in

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez rises to 9%2%

Axios revealed Ocasio-Cortez's effective ad campaign supporting California's Prop 50, demonstrating her growing influence and potential to challenge established Democrats in presidential primaries

Rubio privately tells confidants that JD Vance is the 2028 frontrunner and pledges support if Vance runs

Rubio publicly and privately acknowledged Vance as the likely Republican nominee for 2028, signaling no immediate challenge and likely stabilizing his market.

Kamala Harris tells BBC she "possibly" could run for president again, stating "I am not done" and expressing confidence in a future female president

Kamala Harris rises to 3%1%

Her first UK interview gave the strongest indication yet of a potential 2028 run, raising market interest after a period of low

Axios reported that Ocasio-Cortez and her team are positioning her to run for president or U.S.

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez dips to 5%4%

Senate in 2028, highlighting her extensive digital advertising and grassroots fundraising efforts that expanded her donor base significantly

Kamala Harris announces she will not run for California governor in 2026, leaving the door open for a 2028 presidential bid

Kamala Harris rises to 4%1%

This decision ended speculation about a gubernatorial run and suggested she might focus on a future presidential campaign, slightly boosting market confidence.

Newsom faces political and public scrutiny over California’s rising gas

Gavin Newsom jumps to 19%5%

Newsom faces political and public scrutiny over California’s rising gas

JD Vance posts cryptic message hinting at 2028 presidential ambitions on Bluesky, sparking widespread speculation about his future candidacy and boosting his profile among GOP

JD Vance jumps to 28%9%

JD Vance posts cryptic message hinting at 2028 presidential ambitions on Bluesky, sparking widespread speculation about his future candidacy and boosting his profile among GOP voters

Governor Newsom signs historic housing and infrastructure reforms as part of the 2025-2026 state budget, aiming to address California’s housing affordability crisis and boost his

Gavin Newsom rises to 14%4%

Governor Newsom signs historic housing and infrastructure reforms as part of the 2025-2026 state budget, aiming to address California’s housing affordability crisis and boost his political profile

Ocasio-Cortez's media team released a campaign-style video fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, signaling early positioning for a major political leap

Ocasio-Cortez's media team released a campaign-style video fueling speculation about a 2028 presidential bid, signaling early positioning for a major political leap