Mid-decade redistricting has reshaped congressional maps in seven states—California, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Utah, and Virginia—ahead of the 2026 midterms, with shifts favoring Democrats in California, Utah, and Virginia, and Republicans elsewhere, amid ongoing litigation over Voting Rights Act compliance. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down that state's map as a racial gerrymander, narrowing Section 2 challenges and prompting Florida's legislature to pass a new Republican-leaning map that day (awaiting Gov. DeSantis' signature), Mississippi's special session in late May, and Missouri's Supreme Court hearing on May 14 regarding a referendum challenge. These developments reflect Republican efforts to bolster House margins, with primaries and court deadlines as key catalysts for further changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWhich states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
Which states will use new congressional maps in the midterms?
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
California
70%
Texas
70%
North Carolina
69%
Ohio
69%
Utah
81%
Florida
66%
Louisiana
66%
Missouri
82%
Virginia
77%
Alabama
42%
South Carolina
42%
Georgia
42%
Kansas
50%
New Jersey
42%
Indiana
42%
Washington
50%
Nebraska
42%
Illinois
42%
Minnesota
42%
New York
50%
Maryland
42%
Wisconsin
42%
$178 Vol.
California
$19 Vol.
70%
Texas
$19 Vol.
70%
North Carolina
$12 Vol.
69%
Ohio
$12 Vol.
69%
Utah
$53 Vol.
81%
Florida
$0 Vol.
66%
Louisiana
$0 Vol.
66%
Missouri
$32 Vol.
82%
Virginia
$32 Vol.
77%
Alabama
$0 Vol.
42%
South Carolina
$0 Vol.
42%
Georgia
$0 Vol.
42%
Kansas
$0 Vol.
50%
New Jersey
$0 Vol.
42%
Indiana
$0 Vol.
42%
Washington
$0 Vol.
50%
Nebraska
$0 Vol.
42%
Illinois
$0 Vol.
42%
Minnesota
$0 Vol.
42%
New York
$0 Vol.
50%
Maryland
$0 Vol.
42%
Wisconsin
$0 Vol.
42%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has reshaped congressional maps in seven states—California, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Utah, and Virginia—ahead of the 2026 midterms, with shifts favoring Democrats in California, Utah, and Virginia, and Republicans elsewhere, amid ongoing litigation over Voting Rights Act compliance. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down that state's map as a racial gerrymander, narrowing Section 2 challenges and prompting Florida's legislature to pass a new Republican-leaning map that day (awaiting Gov. DeSantis' signature), Mississippi's special session in late May, and Missouri's Supreme Court hearing on May 14 regarding a referendum challenge. These developments reflect Republican efforts to bolster House margins, with primaries and court deadlines as key catalysts for further changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ET
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.Mid-decade redistricting has reshaped congressional maps in seven states—California, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Utah, and Virginia—ahead of the 2026 midterms, with shifts favoring Democrats in California, Utah, and Virginia, and Republicans elsewhere, amid ongoing litigation over Voting Rights Act compliance. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down that state's map as a racial gerrymander, narrowing Section 2 challenges and prompting Florida's legislature to pass a new Republican-leaning map that day (awaiting Gov. DeSantis' signature), Mississippi's special session in late May, and Missouri's Supreme Court hearing on May 14 regarding a referendum challenge. These developments reflect Republican efforts to bolster House margins, with primaries and court deadlines as key catalysts for further changes.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed US state uses a new congressional district map for the 2026 United States midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
To qualify, after the 2024 United States congressional elections, the listed state must have adopted a new congressional district map that is:
- Formally adopted and enacted into law by the appropriate legislative or redistricting authority;
- Not enjoined, vacated or otherwise fully struck down prior to the 2026 United States Midterm elections; and
- In effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are temporarily stayed pending appeal but later upheld will qualify if they are in effect for use in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
Maps that are completely redrawn by a court, special master, or legislature before implementation will not qualify, unless the redrawn map is itself a new map used in the 2026 United States midterm elections.
If the 2026 United States midterm elections occur and no new qualifying map is in use, this market will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the listed state and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$178Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 30, 2026, 2:25 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mid-decade redistricting has reshaped congressional maps in seven states—California, Missouri, North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, Utah, and Virginia—ahead of the 2026 midterms, with shifts favoring Democrats in California, Utah, and Virginia, and Republicans elsewhere, amid ongoing litigation over Voting Rights Act compliance. The U.S. Supreme Court's April 29 ruling in Louisiana v. Callais struck down that state's map as a racial gerrymander, narrowing Section 2 challenges and prompting Florida's legislature to pass a new Republican-leaning map that day (awaiting Gov. DeSantis' signature), Mississippi's special session in late May, and Missouri's Supreme Court hearing on May 14 regarding a referendum challenge. These developments reflect Republican efforts to bolster House margins, with primaries and court deadlines as key catalysts for further changes.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes