Trader consensus strongly favors the Kuomintang (KMT) to secure the most wins across Taiwan's November 28 nine-in-one local elections—including county magistrates, city mayors, and councilors—reflecting its commanding position bolstered by a March 14 opposition coordination pact with the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP). This alliance, using opinion polls to select unified candidates in key races like New Taipei City, Yilan County, and Chiayi City, prevents vote splitting and leverages KMT incumbency from the 2022 sweep. Last week's KMT victory over TPP's Huang Kuo-chang in the New Taipei mayoral primary, where Lee Shu-chuan polled ahead of the DPP rival, further solidifies unified opposition strength. Despite a late-March survey showing DPP party identification at 39.7% versus KMT-TPP's 28.4%, local races historically favor opposition amid legislative deadlock and pocketbook issues, positioning TPP as negligible at 0.3% due to coordination.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElecciones locales taiwanesas de 2026: Ganador del partido
Elecciones locales taiwanesas de 2026: Ganador del partido
Kuomintang (KMT) 83%
Partido Progresista Democrático (DPP) 17%
Partido Popular de Taiwán (TPP) <1%
$107,330 Vol.
$107,330 Vol.
28 nov 2026
Kuomintang (KMT)
83%
Partido Progresista Democrático (DPP)
17%
Partido Popular de Taiwán (TPP)
<1%
Kuomintang (KMT) 83%
Partido Progresista Democrático (DPP) 17%
Partido Popular de Taiwán (TPP) <1%
$107,330 Vol.
$107,330 Vol.
28 nov 2026
Kuomintang (KMT)
$35,365 Vol.
83%
Partido Progresista Democrático (DPP)
$27,938 Vol.
17%
Partido Popular de Taiwán (TPP)
$44,026 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Trader consensus strongly favors the Kuomintang (KMT) to secure the most wins across Taiwan's November 28 nine-in-one local elections—including county magistrates, city mayors, and councilors—reflecting its commanding position bolstered by a March 14 opposition coordination pact with the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP). This alliance, using opinion polls to select unified candidates in key races like New Taipei City, Yilan County, and Chiayi City, prevents vote splitting and leverages KMT incumbency from the 2022 sweep. Last week's KMT victory over TPP's Huang Kuo-chang in the New Taipei mayoral primary, where Lee Shu-chuan polled ahead of the DPP rival, further solidifies unified opposition strength. Despite a late-March survey showing DPP party identification at 39.7% versus KMT-TPP's 28.4%, local races historically favor opposition amid legislative deadlock and pocketbook issues, positioning TPP as negligible at 0.3% due to coordination.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ET
Volumen
$107,330Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Trader consensus strongly favors the Kuomintang (KMT) to secure the most wins across Taiwan's November 28 nine-in-one local elections—including county magistrates, city mayors, and councilors—reflecting its commanding position bolstered by a March 14 opposition coordination pact with the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP). This alliance, using opinion polls to select unified candidates in key races like New Taipei City, Yilan County, and Chiayi City, prevents vote splitting and leverages KMT incumbency from the 2022 sweep. Last week's KMT victory over TPP's Huang Kuo-chang in the New Taipei mayoral primary, where Lee Shu-chuan polled ahead of the DPP rival, further solidifies unified opposition strength. Despite a late-March survey showing DPP party identification at 39.7% versus KMT-TPP's 28.4%, local races historically favor opposition amid legislative deadlock and pocketbook issues, positioning TPP as negligible at 0.3% due to coordination.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the party whose official candidates win the most head of local government (mayor or magistrate) elections for Taiwan’s major special municipalities, counties, and cities during these elections.
A candidate will be considered an official candidate of a party if they are officially nominated by that party and are registered for the relevant election in affiliation with that party. Independent candidates will not count for any party.
Taiwan’s local governments include the following cities, special municipalities, and counties:
Cities/special municipalities (mayoral elections): Taipei City, New Taipei City, Taoyuan City, Taichung City, Tainan City, Kaohsiung City, Keelung City, Hsinchu City, Chiayi City
Counties (magistrate elections): Yilan County, Hsinchu County, Miaoli County, Changhua County, Nantou County, Yunlin County, Chiayi County, Pingtung County, Taitung County, Hualien County, Penghu County, Lienchiang County, Kinmen County
Only elections for the listed cities, special municipalities or counties will be counted for this market. A party will have won as soon as it becomes mathematically impossible for any other party to equal or surpass its number of wins in these elections.
In the case of a tie between two or more parties for the greatest number of relevant head of local government elections won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose English name comes first in alphabetical order, as listed in this market group.
Resolution of this market will be based on the results of the relevant elections, once those results are official. This market will remain open until a party has won or until the results of all of the relevant elections are made official. If the results of any of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections aren’t known by June 30, 2027 11:59 PM ET, the winning party will be determined based on the available results up to that point. If none of the results of the relevant 2026 Taiwanese local elections are known by that time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volumen
$107,330Fecha de finalización
28 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 4, 2025, 3:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus strongly favors the Kuomintang (KMT) to secure the most wins across Taiwan's November 28 nine-in-one local elections—including county magistrates, city mayors, and councilors—reflecting its commanding position bolstered by a March 14 opposition coordination pact with the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP). This alliance, using opinion polls to select unified candidates in key races like New Taipei City, Yilan County, and Chiayi City, prevents vote splitting and leverages KMT incumbency from the 2022 sweep. Last week's KMT victory over TPP's Huang Kuo-chang in the New Taipei mayoral primary, where Lee Shu-chuan polled ahead of the DPP rival, further solidifies unified opposition strength. Despite a late-March survey showing DPP party identification at 39.7% versus KMT-TPP's 28.4%, local races historically favor opposition amid legislative deadlock and pocketbook issues, positioning TPP as negligible at 0.3% due to coordination.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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