Romania's pro-EU coalition government collapsed on May 5 after Parliament passed a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, driven by PSD's withdrawal over unpopular austerity measures addressing the EU's highest budget deficit and inflation. President Nicușor Dan now consults party leaders to nominate a new prime minister for a confidence vote, ruling out snap elections. Traders favor PSD leader and Chamber Speaker Sorin Grindeanu at 37.5% implied probability due to his party's parliamentary plurality and prior premiership, positioning him for coalition negotiations. PNL's Cătălin Predoiu, recent deputy PM and past interim leader, trails at 12.5% amid efforts to rebuild a pro-European majority before EU fund deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSorin Grindeanu 37%
Cătălin Predoiu 14%
Sebastian Burduja 3.9%
George Simion 3.7%
NUEVO
$94,194 Vol.
NUEVO
$94,194 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sorin Grindeanu
37%
Cătălin Predoiu
14%
Sebastian Burduja
4%
George Simion
4%
Ilie Bolojan
3%
Raluca Turcan
2%
Dacian Cioloș
2%
Ionuț Dumitru
2%
Delia Velculescu
2%
Anca Dragu
2%
Mugur Isărescu
2%
Lucian Croitoru
1%
Lucian Isar
1%
Alexandru Rafila
1%
Cătălin Drulă
1%
Mircea Geoană
1%
Emil Boc
1%
Vasile Dîncu
1%
Dominic Fritz
1%
Marcel Ciolacu
1%
Elena Lasconi
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
<1%
Sorin Grindeanu 37%
Cătălin Predoiu 14%
Sebastian Burduja 3.9%
George Simion 3.7%
NUEVO
$94,194 Vol.
NUEVO
$94,194 Vol.
31 may 2026
Sorin Grindeanu
$13,121 Vol.
37%
Cătălin Predoiu
$12,199 Vol.
14%
Sebastian Burduja
$2,426 Vol.
4%
George Simion
$4,094 Vol.
4%
Ilie Bolojan
$6,396 Vol.
3%
Raluca Turcan
$1,190 Vol.
2%
Dacian Cioloș
$3,108 Vol.
2%
Ionuț Dumitru
$1,245 Vol.
2%
Delia Velculescu
$1,461 Vol.
2%
Anca Dragu
$3,344 Vol.
2%
Mugur Isărescu
$1,322 Vol.
2%
Lucian Croitoru
$1,063 Vol.
1%
Lucian Isar
$1,053 Vol.
1%
Alexandru Rafila
$3,925 Vol.
1%
Cătălin Drulă
$2,479 Vol.
1%
Mircea Geoană
$4,075 Vol.
1%
Emil Boc
$1,203 Vol.
1%
Vasile Dîncu
$996 Vol.
1%
Dominic Fritz
$1,126 Vol.
1%
Marcel Ciolacu
$2,539 Vol.
1%
Elena Lasconi
$19,450 Vol.
<1%
Nicolae Ciucă
$6,381 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's pro-EU coalition government collapsed on May 5 after Parliament passed a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, driven by PSD's withdrawal over unpopular austerity measures addressing the EU's highest budget deficit and inflation. President Nicușor Dan now consults party leaders to nominate a new prime minister for a confidence vote, ruling out snap elections. Traders favor PSD leader and Chamber Speaker Sorin Grindeanu at 37.5% implied probability due to his party's parliamentary plurality and prior premiership, positioning him for coalition negotiations. PNL's Cătălin Predoiu, recent deputy PM and past interim leader, trails at 12.5% amid efforts to rebuild a pro-European majority before EU fund deadlines.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ET
Volumen
$94,194Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Romania's pro-EU coalition government collapsed on May 5 after Parliament passed a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, driven by PSD's withdrawal over unpopular austerity measures addressing the EU's highest budget deficit and inflation. President Nicușor Dan now consults party leaders to nominate a new prime minister for a confidence vote, ruling out snap elections. Traders favor PSD leader and Chamber Speaker Sorin Grindeanu at 37.5% implied probability due to his party's parliamentary plurality and prior premiership, positioning him for coalition negotiations. PNL's Cătălin Predoiu, recent deputy PM and past interim leader, trails at 12.5% amid efforts to rebuild a pro-European majority before EU fund deadlines.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Prime Minister of Romania by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the President of Romania and receive a vote of confidence from Parliament, resulting in the official formation of a new government. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister who does not receive a parliamentary vote of confidence will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister takes office by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Romania; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$94,194Fecha de finalización
31 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 1:11 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Romania's pro-EU coalition government collapsed on May 5 after Parliament passed a no-confidence motion against Prime Minister Ilie Bolojan, driven by PSD's withdrawal over unpopular austerity measures addressing the EU's highest budget deficit and inflation. President Nicușor Dan now consults party leaders to nominate a new prime minister for a confidence vote, ruling out snap elections. Traders favor PSD leader and Chamber Speaker Sorin Grindeanu at 37.5% implied probability due to his party's parliamentary plurality and prior premiership, positioning him for coalition negotiations. PNL's Cătălin Predoiu, recent deputy PM and past interim leader, trails at 12.5% amid efforts to rebuild a pro-European majority before EU fund deadlines.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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