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Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

icon for Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California
Elecciones·Elecciones En EE. UU.

Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California

Tom Steyer 43.5%

Xavier Becerra 35.9%

Steve Hilton 8.8%

Katie Porter 4.1%

Polymarket

$15,369,769 Vol.

Tom Steyer 43.5%

Xavier Becerra 35.9%

Steve Hilton 8.8%

Katie Porter 4.1%

Polymarket

$15,369,769 Vol.

Tom Steyer

$3,156,561 Vol.

43%

Xavier Becerra

$682,273 Vol.

36%

Steve Hilton

$1,062,993 Vol.

9%

Katie Porter

$907,203 Vol.

4%

Matt Mahan

$464,870 Vol.

4%

Chad Bianco

$984,250 Vol.

3%

Rick Caruso

$581,722 Vol.

<1%

Stephen Cloobeck

$371,294 Vol.

<1%

Betty Yee

$420,871 Vol.

<1%

Eleni Kounalakis

$575,700 Vol.

<1%

Leo Zacky

$449,476 Vol.

<1%

Kamala Harris

$348,701 Vol.

<1%

Elaine Culotti

$240,121 Vol.

<1%

Alex Padilla

$548,153 Vol.

<1%

Toni Atkins

$501,117 Vol.

<1%

Michael Younger

$514,023 Vol.

<1%

Nicole Shanahan

$435,303 Vol.

<1%

Kyle Langford

$928,477 Vol.

<1%

Tony Thurmond

$523,125 Vol.

<1%

Eric Swalwell

$489,738 Vol.

<1%

Antonio Villaraigosa

$244,239 Vol.

<1%

Butch Ware

$498,454 Vol.

<1%

Daniel Mercuri

$450,261 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In California's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom exiting, trader consensus prices Democrat Tom Steyer (43.5%) narrowly ahead of Xavier Becerra (35.8%) for the general election winner, implying bettors anticipate a Democrat-heavy top-two primary outcome on June 2 despite recent polls. Emerson (April 16) and CBS/YouGov (April 27) surveys of likely voters show Republican Steve Hilton leading at 16-17%, Steyer at 14-15%, and Becerra surging to 13% post-Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, underscoring Democratic field fragmentation in the crowded nonpartisan primary. Steyer's self-funding dominance bolsters his edge, while Becerra gains from debate showings and perceived Newsom alignment; further endorsements, turnout shifts, or late consolidations could widen the gap.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$15,369,769
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.In California's open 2026 gubernatorial race, with term-limited Gov. Gavin Newsom exiting, trader consensus prices Democrat Tom Steyer (43.5%) narrowly ahead of Xavier Becerra (35.8%) for the general election winner, implying bettors anticipate a Democrat-heavy top-two primary outcome on June 2 despite recent polls. Emerson (April 16) and CBS/YouGov (April 27) surveys of likely voters show Republican Steve Hilton leading at 16-17%, Steyer at 14-15%, and Becerra surging to 13% post-Eric Swalwell's withdrawal, underscoring Democratic field fragmentation in the crowded nonpartisan primary. Steyer's self-funding dominance bolsters his edge, while Becerra gains from debate showings and perceived Newsom alignment; further endorsements, turnout shifts, or late consolidations could widen the gap.

This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026.

If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Volumen
$15,369,769
Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026
Mercado abierto
Oct 9, 2025, 7:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve to according to the candidate who wins the 2026 California gubernatorial election currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 23 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Tom Steyer" con 43%, seguido de "Xavier Becerra" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 43¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" ha generado $15.4 million en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Oct 9, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California", explora los 23 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" es "Tom Steyer" con 43%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 43% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Xavier Becerra" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones de gobernador de California" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.