MetService's latest forecast update this morning (May 5) raised Wellington's projected high for May 7 to 18°C, up from 17°C yesterday, as strengthening northerlies advect mild maritime air amid a few showers—driving trader consensus toward 18-19°C outcomes at 27% and 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble model spreads showing sensitivity to cloud cover and shower timing: persistent overcast from the approaching front could cap heating at 17°C (22.5%), while midday clearing and gusty winds (rising to gale force) enable 19-20°C peaks (combined ~42%). Recent days' highs of 15°C align with above-average May norms (14-15°C baseline), but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's refined guidance from NOAA and ECMWF models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Wellington on May 7?
Highest temperature in Wellington on May 7?
18°C 37%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
1%
15°C
2%
16°C
4%
17°C
21%
18°C
37%
19°C
32%
20°C
6%
21°C or higher
2%
18°C 37%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
20°C 6%
NUEVO
NUEVO
7 may 2026
11°C or below
$566 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$309 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$136 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$70 Vol.
1%
15°C
$14 Vol.
2%
16°C
$98 Vol.
4%
17°C
$30 Vol.
21%
18°C
$36 Vol.
37%
19°C
$130 Vol.
32%
20°C
$114 Vol.
6%
21°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update this morning (May 5) raised Wellington's projected high for May 7 to 18°C, up from 17°C yesterday, as strengthening northerlies advect mild maritime air amid a few showers—driving trader consensus toward 18-19°C outcomes at 27% and 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble model spreads showing sensitivity to cloud cover and shower timing: persistent overcast from the approaching front could cap heating at 17°C (22.5%), while midday clearing and gusty winds (rising to gale force) enable 19-20°C peaks (combined ~42%). Recent days' highs of 15°C align with above-average May norms (14-15°C baseline), but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's refined guidance from NOAA and ECMWF models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
Volumen
$1,481Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.MetService's latest forecast update this morning (May 5) raised Wellington's projected high for May 7 to 18°C, up from 17°C yesterday, as strengthening northerlies advect mild maritime air amid a few showers—driving trader consensus toward 18-19°C outcomes at 27% and 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble model spreads showing sensitivity to cloud cover and shower timing: persistent overcast from the approaching front could cap heating at 17°C (22.5%), while midday clearing and gusty winds (rising to gale force) enable 19-20°C peaks (combined ~42%). Recent days' highs of 15°C align with above-average May norms (14-15°C baseline), but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's refined guidance from NOAA and ECMWF models.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wellington Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$1,481Fecha de finalización
7 may 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 12:12 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...MetService's latest forecast update this morning (May 5) raised Wellington's projected high for May 7 to 18°C, up from 17°C yesterday, as strengthening northerlies advect mild maritime air amid a few showers—driving trader consensus toward 18-19°C outcomes at 27% and 26.5% implied probabilities. This reflects ensemble model spreads showing sensitivity to cloud cover and shower timing: persistent overcast from the approaching front could cap heating at 17°C (22.5%), while midday clearing and gusty winds (rising to gale force) enable 19-20°C peaks (combined ~42%). Recent days' highs of 15°C align with above-average May norms (14-15°C baseline), but inherent short-range forecast uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's refined guidance from NOAA and ECMWF models.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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